⚽ Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Borussia Dortmund face SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Borussia Dortmund have 4 wins from their last 5, while SC Paderborn 07 have 0 wins from their last 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 71%, projecting a 2.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

BTTS Yes @ 1.70

63%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.24 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	3.8%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.0%	8.6%	5.3%	2.2%	0.7%
2	7.8%	9.6%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%
3	5.8%	7.2%	4.4%	1.8%	0.6%
4	3.3%	4.0%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Borussia Dortmund winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.70, the selection our model is most confident in at 63%. On the match result, the model rates a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 71%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

Best value

BTTS Yes at odds 1.70, 63% model probability, +7.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Borussia Dortmund 71%Draw 17%SC Paderborn 07 12%

71%17%12%

71%

Borussia Dortmund Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

+7.6%

Best value: BTTS Yes

📈 Recent form

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at HEBC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Bayern München.

WBorussia Dortmund 3-2 VillarrealUEFA Champions League
W1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
WHEBC 0-5 Borussia DortmundDFB Pokal
WBorussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
LBorussia Dortmund 1-2 Bayern MünchenSuper Cup

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Phönix Lübeck. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to SC Freiburg.

LSC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
DFSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
WPhönix Lübeck 2-4 SC Paderborn 07DFB Pokal
DWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
WVfL Osnabrück 0-2 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Borussia Dortmund

E. CanKnee Injury
S. InacioSuspended (red card)
M. KabaInjury
K. KaretsasHealth problems
G. KonstanteliasKnee Injury
J. LermaMuscle Injury
F. ManeMuscle Injury

SC Paderborn 07

T. GayretKnee Injury
N. Awortwie-GrantKnee Injury
L. EickelBack Injury
S. KlaasMuscle Injury
S. MichelMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Borussia Dortmund at 71% to win and SC Paderborn 07 at 12%, with the draw at 17%. Our model makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
SC Paderborn 07 Win	12%	@ 10.00	+20.6%
Draw	17%	@ 6.50	+8.9%
Borussia Dortmund Win	71%	@ 1.25	-11.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SC Paderborn 07 or Draw at 3.75 (30% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw	30%	@ 3.75	+11.3%
Borussia Dortmund or Draw	88%	@ 1.06	-6.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	33%	@ 3.20	+4.5%
Under 3.5	54%	@ 1.91	+3.8%
Under 1.5	14%	@ 7.00	-2.6%
Over 1.5	86%	@ 1.10	-5.3%
Over 2.5	67%	@ 1.36	-8.4%
Over 3.5	46%	@ 1.91	-12.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	63%	@ 1.70	+7.6%
BTTS No	37%	@ 2.05	-24.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our main pick is both teams to score at odds 1.70, with 63% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our model makes a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 71%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07.

What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.24 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.23 for SC Paderborn 07. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.