⚽ Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.
Result: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV Elversberg
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg finished 3-4. SV Elversberg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Borussia Mönchengladbach face SV Elversberg in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Borussia Mönchengladbach win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.7-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is SV Elversberg with a +1.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Borussia Mönchengladbach win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (63%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Borussia Mönchengladbach come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at Schott Mainz. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to FSV Mainz 05.
- LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- LSC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
- LRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- WSchott Mainz 0-5 Borussia MönchengladbachDFB Pokal
SV Elversberg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at MSV Duisburg. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Bayern Munich.
- DFC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
- LSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
- WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 SV ElversbergBundesliga
- WSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
- WMSV Duisburg 1-3 SV ElversbergDFB Pokal
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. CastropShoulder Injury
- D. HashiokaNeck Injury
- Y. KonoplyaKnee Injury
- E. LeopoldKnee Injury
- Z. UnoMuscle Injury
- L. SeifertAnkle Injury
- T. ZimmerschiedBack Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Borussia Mönchengladbach at 40% to win and SV Elversberg at 33%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Borussia Mönchengladbach win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach Win | 40% | 51% | @ 1.82 |
| SV Elversberg Win | 33% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw at 1.24 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw | 67% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| SV Elversberg or Draw | 59% | 49% | @ 1.94 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 36% | @ 2.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 20% | @ 4.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 37% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Borussia Mönchengladbach or SV Elversberg is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg +2 | 87% | 83% | 1.14 |
| SV Elversberg +1.75 | 84% | 76% | @ 1.26 |
| SV Elversberg +1.5 | 81% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +1 | 77% | 86% | 1.10 |
| SV Elversberg +1.25 | 76% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.75 | 72% | 80% | 1.18 |
| SV Elversberg +1 | 70% | 63% | @ 1.52 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.5 | 67% | 75% | 1.27 |
| SV Elversberg +0.75 | 65% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.25 | 60% | 72% | 1.33 |
| SV Elversberg +0.5 | 59% | 49% | @ 1.97 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 | 54% | 67% | 1.42 |
| SV Elversberg +0.25 | 53% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.25 | 47% | 58% | 1.66 |
| SV Elversberg 0 | 46% | 33% | @ 2.92 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.5 | 41% | 51% | 1.91 |
| SV Elversberg -0.25 | 40% | 28% | @ 3.38 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -0.75 | 35% | 45% | 2.13 |
| SV Elversberg -0.5 | 33% | 25% | @ 3.81 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -1 | 30% | 37% | 2.55 |
| SV Elversberg -0.75 | 28% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -1.25 | 24% | 33% | 2.90 |
| SV Elversberg -1 | 23% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -1.5 | 19% | 30% | 3.20 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -1.75 | 16% | 24% | 3.91 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach -2 | 13% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
Our model's main pick is SV Elversberg with a +1.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
Our model makes a Borussia Mönchengladbach win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.5 scoreline for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.52 for SV Elversberg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Borussia Mönchengladbach and SV Elversberg play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Benevento
Catanzaro
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Cesena
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Mantova
CremoneseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.