⚽ Brazilian Série A
Botafogo vs RB Bragantino Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Botafogo 1-1 RB Bragantino
Botafogo vs RB Bragantino finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Botafogo or Draw at 1.30, landed.
Botafogo face RB Bragantino in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Botafogo have no wins from their last 5, while RB Bragantino have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Botafogo won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Botafogo win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Botafogo with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Botafogo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Botafogo and RB Bragantino. Wins shown from Botafogo’s perspective: Botafogo 3 · 2 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Botafogo | 1 – 1 | RB Bragantino | D |
| 2024-10-26 | RB Bragantino | 0 – 1 | Botafogo | W |
| 2024-06-26 | Botafogo | 2 – 1 | RB Bragantino | W |
| 2023-11-12 | RB Bragantino | 2 – 2 | Botafogo | D |
| 2023-07-16 | Botafogo | 2 – 0 | RB Bragantino | W |
📈 Recent form
Botafogo come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Grêmio. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Mirassol.
- LMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
- WBotafogo 3-2 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
- DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- DBotafogo 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
- LFlamengo 3-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
RB Bragantino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Grêmio. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Flamengo.
- LFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- LRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
- LSão Paulo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- WRB Bragantino 1-0 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Arthur CabralSuspended (cards)
- J. BarreraInjury
- Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
- Matheus MartinsNot in squad
- Alix ViniciusSuspended (cards)
- Davi GomesKnee Injury
- Eduardo SashaNot in squad
- RodriguinhoNot in squad
- VanderlanKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Botafogo at 51% to win and RB Bragantino at 20%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Botafogo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo Win | 51% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
| RB Bragantino Win | 20% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Botafogo or Draw at 1.36 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo or Draw | 77% | 68% | @ 1.36 |
| RB Bragantino or Draw | 47% | 60% | @ 1.53 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Botafogo or RB Bragantino is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo +1.5 | 92% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Botafogo +1 | 85% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Botafogo +0.75 | 81% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Botafogo +0.5 | 77% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| RB Bragantino +1.75 | 75% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Botafogo +0.25 | 71% | 63% | @ 1.52 |
| RB Bragantino +1.5 | 71% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Botafogo 0 | 65% | 56% | @ 1.71 |
| RB Bragantino +1.25 | 65% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Botafogo -0.25 | 59% | 47% | @ 2.07 |
| RB Bragantino +1 | 59% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Botafogo -0.5 | 53% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| RB Bragantino +0.75 | 53% | 66% | 1.43 |
| Botafogo -0.75 | 47% | 34% | @ 2.82 |
| RB Bragantino +0.5 | 47% | 60% | 1.59 |
| Botafogo -1 | 41% | 26% | @ 3.69 |
| RB Bragantino +0.25 | 41% | 53% | 1.80 |
| Botafogo -1.25 | 35% | 23% | @ 4.20 |
| RB Bragantino 0 | 35% | 44% | 2.15 |
| Botafogo -1.5 | 29% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| RB Bragantino -0.25 | 29% | 37% | 2.54 |
| Botafogo -1.75 | 25% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| RB Bragantino -0.5 | 23% | 33% | 2.91 |
| RB Bragantino -0.75 | 19% | 26% | 3.65 |
| RB Bragantino -1 | 15% | 18% | 5.25 |
| RB Bragantino -1.5 | 8% | 16% | 6.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino?
Our model's main pick is Botafogo with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino?
Our model makes a Botafogo win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.43 for Botafogo and 1.17 for RB Bragantino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Botafogo and RB Bragantino play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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