⚽ Brazilian Série A

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Botafogo face RB Bragantino in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Botafogo have 0 wins from their last 5, while RB Bragantino have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Botafogo won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Botafogo win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Botafogo or Draw @ 1.36

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.43 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.7%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
1	10.6%	12.4%	7.3%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.6%	8.9%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.6%	4.2%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.5%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Botafogo winDrawRB Bragantino win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Botafogo or Draw at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Botafogo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Botafogo win at odds 2.35 (+19.2% model value).

Best value

Botafogo Win at odds 2.35, 51% model probability, +19.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Botafogo 51%Draw 29%RB Bragantino 20%

51%29%20%

51%

Botafogo Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

+19.2%

Best value: Botafogo Win

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Botafogo and RB Bragantino. Wins shown from Botafogo’s perspective: Botafogo 3 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-10-26	RB Bragantino	0 – 1	Botafogo	W
2024-06-26	Botafogo	2 – 1	RB Bragantino	W
2023-11-12	RB Bragantino	2 – 2	Botafogo	D
2023-07-16	Botafogo	2 – 0	RB Bragantino	W

📈 Recent form

Botafogo

Botafogo come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Cienciano. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Flamengo.

DBotafogo 0-0 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 3-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
LBotafogo 2-3 Atletico ParanaenseBrazilian Série A
WBotafogo 1-0 CiencianoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
LVitoria 1-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A

RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Gremio. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Bahia.

LRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
LSao Paulo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
WRB Bragantino 1-0 GremioBrazilian Série A
DAtletico-MG 2-2 RB BragantinoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
DAtletico Paranaense 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Botafogo

Arthur CabralSuspended (cards)
J. BarreraInjury
Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
PaulinhoInjury

RB Bragantino

Alix ViniciusSuspended (cards)
Davi GomesKnee Injury
VanderlanKnee Injury
Eduardo SashaNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Botafogo at 51% to win and RB Bragantino at 20%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Botafogo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Botafogo Win	51%	@ 2.35	+19.2%
Draw	29%	@ 3.30	-4.2%
RB Bragantino Win	20%	@ 3.10	-37.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Botafogo or Draw at 1.36 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Botafogo or Draw	77%	@ 1.36	+5.2%
RB Bragantino or Draw	47%	@ 1.57	-26.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	27%	@ 4.00	+7.0%
Under 2.5	52%	@ 1.95	+1.1%
Under 3.5	74%	@ 1.36	+0.1%
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.25	-8.4%
Over 2.5	48%	@ 1.85	-10.9%
Over 3.5	26%	@ 3.20	-15.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	48%	@ 2.10	+0.2%
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.67	-12.7%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino?

Our main pick is Botafogo or Draw at odds 1.36, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Botafogo win at 2.35 (+19.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino?

Our model makes a Botafogo win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino.

What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs RB Bragantino?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.43 for Botafogo and 1.17 for RB Bragantino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Botafogo and RB Bragantino play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.