Sat 31 Oct15:00Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Burnley vs Portsmouth Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Burnley vs Portsmouth in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Burnley face Portsmouth in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Burnley have 1 win from their last 5, while Portsmouth have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Burnley won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Burnley win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Burnley vs Portsmouth with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.3%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.9%	11.8%	6.3%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.5%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.8%	5.1%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Burnley winDrawPortsmouth win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Burnley vs Portsmouth comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Burnley win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Burnley 63%Draw 19%Portsmouth 18%

63%19%18%

63%

Burnley Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Burnley and Portsmouth. Wins shown from Burnley’s perspective: Burnley 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-02-01	Portsmouth	0 – 0	Burnley	D
2024-09-21	Burnley	2 – 1	Portsmouth	W

📈 Recent form

Burnley

Burnley come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Watford. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Lincoln.

LLincoln 4-1 BurnleyChampionship
LBurnley 1-2 WolvesChampionship
DBurnley 2-2 CharltonChampionship
WWatford 0-4 BurnleyChampionship
DBurnley 1-1 DerbyChampionship

Portsmouth

Portsmouth come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Millwall. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Southampton.

WPortsmouth 2-1 MillwallChampionship
DWolves 1-1 PortsmouthChampionship
WNorwich 0-1 PortsmouthChampionship
WPortsmouth 3-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LSouthampton 1-0 PortsmouthChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Burnley at 63% to win and Portsmouth at 18%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a Burnley win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burnley Win	63%	47%	@ 1.95
Draw	19%	27%	@ 3.40
Portsmouth Win	18%	26%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Burnley or Draw at 1.28 (84% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burnley or Draw	84%	74%	@ 1.28
Portsmouth or Draw	38%	53%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	71%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	51%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	49%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	29%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	25%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	49%	46%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Our model makes a Burnley win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Burnley vs Portsmouth.

What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Portsmouth?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Burnley and 1.08 for Portsmouth. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Burnley and Portsmouth play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.