⚽ Eredivisie
Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Cambuur 3-0 NEC Nijmegen
Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen finished 3-0. Cambuur won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 2.5 goals at 1.37, landed.
Cambuur face NEC Nijmegen in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Cambuur have no wins from their last 5, while NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 1.1-4.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 89% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (89%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Cambuur come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 12. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Twente.
- DADO Den Haag 1-1 CambuurEredivisie
- WCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
- LCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie
- LCambuur 2-5 FeyenoordEredivisie
NEC Nijmegen come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at PEC Zwolle. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Juventus.
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- LJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
- LCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
- LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 FeyenoordEredivisie
- WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- W. AsselmanNot in squad
- D. VisserKnee Injury
- D. BouahInjury
- D. FonvilleInjury
- A. KaplanKnee Injury
- B. LinssenInjury
- E. MorNot in squad
- D. NejasmicNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Cambuur at 19% to win and NEC Nijmegen at 60%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen Win | 60% | 63% | @ 1.47 |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
| Cambuur Win | 19% | 17% | @ 5.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is NEC Nijmegen or Draw at 1.13 (82% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 82% | 83% | @ 1.13 |
| Cambuur or Draw | 41% | 37% | @ 2.60 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-4.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 89% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 86% | @ 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 | 89% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| Over 3.5 | 76% | 48% | @ 1.98 |
| Under 3.5 | 24% | 52% | @ 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 11% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 4% | 14% | @ 6.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 63% | @ 1.47 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 37% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Cambuur or NEC Nijmegen is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen +0.75 | 85% | 85% | 1.12 |
| NEC Nijmegen +0.5 | 82% | 80% | 1.18 |
| NEC Nijmegen +0.25 | 76% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Cambuur +2 | 74% | 72% | 1.32 |
| NEC Nijmegen 0 | 71% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Cambuur +1.75 | 70% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Cambuur +1.5 | 65% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| NEC Nijmegen -0.25 | 65% | 69% | 1.39 |
| NEC Nijmegen -0.5 | 59% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Cambuur +1.25 | 59% | 54% | @ 1.78 |
| NEC Nijmegen -0.75 | 53% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Cambuur +1 | 53% | 47% | @ 2.02 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1 | 47% | 53% | 1.82 |
| Cambuur +0.75 | 47% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1.25 | 41% | 46% | 2.07 |
| Cambuur +0.5 | 41% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Cambuur +0.25 | 35% | 31% | @ 3.06 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1.5 | 35% | 42% | 2.29 |
| NEC Nijmegen -1.75 | 30% | 36% | 2.66 |
| Cambuur 0 | 29% | 23% | @ 4.08 |
| NEC Nijmegen -2 | 26% | 28% | 3.38 |
| Cambuur -0.25 | 24% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Cambuur -0.5 | 18% | 20% | 4.65 |
| Cambuur -0.75 | 15% | 15% | 6.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 89% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.
Who is the favourite for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our model makes a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 1.1-4.1 scoreline for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen.
What is the predicted score for Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-4, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Cambuur and 4.12 for NEC Nijmegen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Cambuur and NEC Nijmegen play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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