Sat 29 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Premiership

Celtic vs Falkirk Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celtic vs Falkirk in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Celtic 2-1 Falkirk

Celtic vs Falkirk finished 2-1. Celtic won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Celtic face Falkirk in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Celtic have 5 wins from their last 5, while Falkirk have no wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Celtic won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 82%, projecting a 3.2-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celtic vs Falkirk with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.33

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.20 – 0.72 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	6.3%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
2	10.2%	7.3%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%
3	10.8%	7.8%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
4	8.7%	6.2%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 3-0

Celtic winDrawFalkirk win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celtic vs Falkirk comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celtic win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 82%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Celtic 82%Draw 12%Falkirk 6%

82%12%

82%

Celtic Win

75%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Celtic and Falkirk. Wins shown from Celtic’s perspective: Celtic 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Celtic	2 – 1	Falkirk	W
2026-04-25	Celtic	3 – 1	Falkirk	W

📈 Recent form

Celtic

Celtic come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at St Johnstone. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Rangers.

LCeltic 0-1 RangersPremiership
LCeltic 1-3 FerencvárosUEFA Europa League
LRangers 3-0 CelticLeague Cup
WSt Johnstone 0-1 CelticPremiership
WSt Mirren 1-2 CelticPremiership

Falkirk

Falkirk come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Heart Of Midlothian. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Rangers.

DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
WFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LFalkirk 1-2 RangersPremiership
LCeltic 2-1 FalkirkPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celtic at 82% to win and Falkirk at 6%, with the draw at 12%. Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic Win	82%	78%	@ 1.19
Draw	12%	14%	@ 6.50
Falkirk Win	6%	8%	@ 11.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celtic or Draw at 1.02 (94% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic or Draw	94%	92%	@ 1.02
Falkirk or Draw	18%	22%	@ 4.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.2-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	87%	@ 1.08
Over 2.5	75%	70%	@ 1.33
Over 3.5	55%	50%	@ 1.86
Under 3.5	45%	50%	@ 1.88
Under 2.5	25%	30%	@ 3.15
Under 1.5	10%	13%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	49%	@ 1.89
BTTS Yes	48%	51%	@ 1.79

📈 How the market moved

Celtic 78%Draw 14%Falkirk 8%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celtic vs Falkirk?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Falkirk?

Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 82%. It projects an expected 3.2-0.7 scoreline for Celtic vs Falkirk.

What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Falkirk?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 3.20 for Celtic and 0.72 for Falkirk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celtic and Falkirk play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.