Sun 18 Oct7-1Finished

⚽ Premiership

Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Celtic 7-1 Heart Of Midlothian

Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian finished 7-1. Celtic won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Celtic face Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Celtic have 4 wins from their last 5, while Heart Of Midlothian have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Celtic won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.9-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.62

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.85 – 1.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	5.8%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
1	10.3%	10.7%	5.6%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.5%	9.9%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.9%	6.1%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.7%	2.8%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Celtic winDrawHeart Of Midlothian win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celtic win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Celtic 57%Draw 21%Heart Of Midlothian 22%

57%21%22%

57%

Celtic Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Celtic and Heart Of Midlothian. Wins shown from Celtic’s perspective: Celtic 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-18	Celtic	7 – 1	Heart Of Midlothian	W
2026-05-16	Celtic	3 – 1	Heart Of Midlothian	W

📈 Recent form

Celtic

Celtic come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 7-1 at home to Heart Of Midlothian. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Benfica.

WCeltic 7-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
LBenfica 4-1 CelticUEFA Europa League
WMotherwell 0-2 CelticPremiership
LCeltic 0-1 RangersPremiership
LCeltic 1-3 FerencvárosUEFA Europa League

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to St Mirren. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-7 at Celtic.

LCeltic 7-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
DHeart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference
WHeart Of Midlothian 5-0 St MirrenPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
LFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Celtic at 57% to win and Heart Of Midlothian at 22%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic Win	57%	60%	@ 1.57
Heart Of Midlothian Win	22%	19%	@ 5.00
Draw	21%	21%	@ 4.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celtic or Draw at 1.17 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic or Draw	79%	81%	@ 1.17
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw	44%	40%	@ 2.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	67%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	55%	62%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	45%	38%	@ 2.50
Over 3.5	33%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	22%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	46%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

Celtic 60%Draw 21%Heart Of Midlothian 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.0 scoreline for Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian.

What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.85 for Celtic and 1.04 for Heart Of Midlothian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Celtic and Heart Of Midlothian play?

Kick-off is Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.