⚽ Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs DC United Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CF Montreal vs DC United in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

CF Montreal face DC United in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, CF Montreal won 1, DC United won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a CF Montreal win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.7-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CF Montreal vs DC United with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.70

65%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.74 – 1.60 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	5.7%	4.5%	2.4%	1.0%
1	6.2%	9.9%	7.9%	4.2%	1.7%
2	5.4%	8.6%	6.9%	3.7%	1.5%
3	3.1%	5.0%	4.0%	2.1%	0.8%
4	1.4%	2.2%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

CF Montreal winDrawDC United win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for CF Montreal vs DC United is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.70, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. On the match result, the model rates a CF Montreal win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.70, 65% model probability, +10.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

CF Montreal 38%Draw 29%DC United 32%

38%29%32%

38%

CF Montreal Win

65%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

+10.2%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between CF Montreal and DC United. Wins shown from CF Montreal’s perspective: CF Montreal 1 · 2 drawn · DC United 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-23	DC United	4 – 4	CF Montreal	D
2024-05-29	CF Montreal	4 – 2	DC United	W
2024-03-30	DC United	1 – 0	CF Montreal	L
2023-05-31	DC United	2 – 2	CF Montreal	D
2023-04-15	CF Montreal	0 – 1	DC United	L

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices CF Montreal at 38% to win and DC United at 32%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a CF Montreal win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	29%	@ 3.60	+5.5%
DC United Win	32%	@ 2.92	-5.2%
CF Montreal Win	38%	@ 2.22	-15.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is DC United or Draw at 1.62 (60% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
DC United or Draw	60%	@ 1.62	-2.3%
CF Montreal or Draw	66%	@ 1.38	-8.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	43%	@ 2.80	+20.0%
Over 2.5	65%	@ 1.70	+10.2%
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.22	+3.2%
Under 3.5	57%	@ 1.42	-18.8%
Under 2.5	35%	@ 2.10	-26.2%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 4.20	-35.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.57	+0.3%
BTTS No	36%	@ 2.25	-18.8%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	48%
Dixon-Coles	Away	43%
GradientBoosting	Home	36%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.36 for the home side, 1.24 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs DC United?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.70, with 65% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs DC United?

Our model makes a CF Montreal win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline for CF Montreal vs DC United.

What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs DC United?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for CF Montreal and 1.60 for DC United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do CF Montreal and DC United play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.