⚽ Major League Soccer
CF Montreal vs DC United Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CF Montreal vs DC United in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: CF Montreal 1-1 DC United
CF Montreal vs DC United finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
CF Montreal face DC United in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, CF Montreal won 1, DC United won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a CF Montreal win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.7-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CF Montreal vs DC United with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for CF Montreal vs DC United comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is DC United with a +1.25 start at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a CF Montreal win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between CF Montreal and DC United. Wins shown from CF Montreal’s perspective: CF Montreal 1 · 3 drawn · DC United 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | CF Montreal | 1 – 1 | DC United | D |
| 2026-05-23 | DC United | 4 – 4 | CF Montreal | D |
| 2024-05-29 | CF Montreal | 4 – 2 | DC United | W |
| 2024-03-30 | DC United | 1 – 0 | CF Montreal | L |
| 2023-05-31 | DC United | 2 – 2 | CF Montreal | D |
📈 Recent form
CF Montreal come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Columbus Crew.
- LCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsCanadian Championship
- LColorado Rapids 1-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- LCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
DC United come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Columbus Crew. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Charlotte.
- LDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LCharlotte 3-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- F. AmayaLower-Body Injury
- W. CarmonaKnee Injury
- B. HidalgoGroin Injury
- E. MoralesToe Injury
- A. SanchezNot in squad
- L. BartlettSuspended (cards)
- K. RowlesThigh Injury
- G. SegalLeg Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices CF Montreal at 38% to win and DC United at 32%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a CF Montreal win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal Win | 38% | 44% | @ 2.14 |
| DC United Win | 32% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is CF Montreal or Draw at 1.35 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal or Draw | 66% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| DC United or Draw | 60% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 | 57% | 64% | @ 1.45 |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 36% | @ 2.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 60% | @ 1.54 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 40% | @ 2.32 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when CF Montreal or DC United is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal +1.5 | 86% | – | 1.10 |
| DC United +1.75 | 85% | 83% | 1.15 |
| DC United +1.5 | 82% | – | 1.22 |
| CF Montreal +1.25 | 81% | 84% | 1.13 |
| DC United +1.25 | 76% | 75% | 1.27 |
| CF Montreal +1 | 76% | 83% | 1.15 |
| DC United +1 | 71% | 72% | 1.31 |
| CF Montreal +0.75 | 71% | 75% | 1.26 |
| CF Montreal +0.5 | 66% | 69% | 1.37 |
| DC United +0.75 | 66% | 64% | 1.50 |
| DC United +0.5 | 60% | 57% | 1.66 |
| CF Montreal +0.25 | 60% | 64% | 1.49 |
| DC United +0.25 | 54% | 51% | @ 1.88 |
| CF Montreal 0 | 53% | 58% | 1.64 |
| DC United 0 | 47% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
| CF Montreal -0.25 | 46% | 49% | 1.96 |
| DC United -0.25 | 40% | 36% | @ 2.65 |
| CF Montreal -0.5 | 40% | 43% | 2.16 |
| CF Montreal -0.75 | 34% | 36% | 2.62 |
| DC United -0.5 | 34% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| DC United -0.75 | 29% | 25% | @ 3.81 |
| CF Montreal -1 | 29% | 28% | 3.42 |
| DC United -1 | 24% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| CF Montreal -1.25 | 24% | 25% | 3.76 |
| DC United -1.25 | 19% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| CF Montreal -1.75 | 15% | 17% | 5.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs DC United?
Our model's main pick is DC United with a +1.25 start at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs DC United?
Our model makes a CF Montreal win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline for CF Montreal vs DC United.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs DC United?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for CF Montreal and 1.60 for DC United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do CF Montreal and DC United play?
Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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