⚽ Major League Soccer
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: CF Montreal 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
CF Montreal face Los Angeles Galaxy in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.5-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1.25 start at odds 1.29, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
CF Montreal come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Columbus Crew.
- LCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsCanadian Championship
- LColorado Rapids 1-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- LCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Minnesota United FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Vancouver Whitecaps.
- WMinnesota United FC 2-3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- LVancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- F. AmayaLower-Body Injury
- W. CarmonaKnee Injury
- B. HidalgoGroin Injury
- E. MoralesToe Injury
- G. SynchukLower-Body Injury
- Joao KlaussFoot Injury
- R. PuigKnee Injury
- M. ReusNot in squad
- L. SanabriaSuspended (red card)
- E. WynderInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices CF Montreal at 31% to win and Los Angeles Galaxy at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy Win | 40% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| CF Montreal Win | 31% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at 1.70 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw | 68% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| CF Montreal or Draw | 59% | 70% | @ 1.34 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 82% | @ 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 39% | @ 2.43 |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 18% | @ 5.10 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 64% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 38% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when CF Montreal or Los Angeles Galaxy is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.75 | 89% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.5 | 86% | 75% | @ 1.24 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.25 | 82% | 73% | @ 1.29 |
| CF Montreal +1.5 | 81% | – | 1.13 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1 | 77% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| CF Montreal +1.25 | 75% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.75 | 72% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| CF Montreal +1 | 70% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.5 | 68% | 55% | @ 1.71 |
| CF Montreal +0.75 | 64% | 76% | 1.26 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.25 | 61% | 49% | @ 1.98 |
| CF Montreal +0.5 | 59% | 69% | 1.36 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy 0 | 54% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| CF Montreal +0.25 | 52% | 66% | 1.45 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 | 48% | 34% | @ 2.77 |
| CF Montreal 0 | 46% | 60% | 1.59 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.5 | 41% | 31% | @ 3.07 |
| CF Montreal -0.25 | 39% | 51% | 1.86 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.75 | 36% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| CF Montreal -0.5 | 32% | 45% | 2.10 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1 | 30% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| CF Montreal -0.75 | 28% | 38% | 2.50 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1.25 | 25% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| CF Montreal -1 | 23% | 31% | 3.12 |
| CF Montreal -1.25 | 18% | 27% | 3.54 |
| CF Montreal -1.5 | 14% | 25% | 3.70 |
| CF Montreal -1.75 | 11% | 19% | 5.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our model's main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1.25 start at odds 1.29, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.53 for CF Montreal and 1.65 for Los Angeles Galaxy. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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