vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
CF Montreal face Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.5-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1.25 start at odds 1.29, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (62%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Los Angeles Galaxy 0 at odds 2.35 (+28.1% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
CF Montreal come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Columbus Crew. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Inter Miami.
- WColumbus Crew 1-2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- DCF Montreal 1-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
- DCF Montreal 2-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LCF Montreal 0-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DCF Montreal 0-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
Los Angeles Galaxy come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Seattle Sounders. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Houston Dynamo.
- WLos Angeles Galaxy 1-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LHouston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WSeattle Sounders 0-2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- W. CarmonaKnee Injury
- F. AmayaLower-Body Injury
- B. HidalgoGroin Injury
- E. MoralesToe Injury
- R. PuigKnee Injury
- L. SanabriaSuspended (red card)
- Joao KlaussFoot Injury
- E. WynderInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices CF Montreal at 31% to win and Los Angeles Galaxy at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy Win | 40% | @ 2.76 | +10.5% |
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.70 | +6.3% |
| CF Montreal Win | 31% | @ 2.28 | -28.8% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at 1.60 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw | 68% | @ 1.60 | +8.1% |
| CF Montreal or Draw | 59% | @ 1.42 | -16.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 83% | @ 1.18 | -2.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | @ 1.57 | -3.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | @ 2.40 | -5.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | @ 1.55 | -5.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | @ 2.35 | -9.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | @ 4.75 | -17.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 38% | @ 2.45 | -6.9% |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | @ 1.48 | -8.3% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when CF Montreal or Los Angeles Galaxy is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1 | 30% | @ 5.25 | +59.4% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -1.25 | 25% | @ 5.75 | +43.1% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.75 | 36% | @ 3.90 | +39.7% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 | 48% | @ 2.77 | +32.6% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy 0 | 54% | @ 2.35 | +28.1% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.5 | 41% | @ 3.07 | +26.8% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.25 | 61% | @ 1.98 | +20.8% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.5 | 68% | @ 1.71 | +15.2% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.75 | 72% | @ 1.53 | +10.9% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.5 | 86% | @ 1.24 | +7.2% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.25 | 82% | @ 1.29 | +5.9% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1 | 77% | @ 1.37 | +5.5% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.75 | 89% | @ 1.17 | +3.8% |
| CF Montreal +1.5 | 81% | 1.13 | -8.9% |
| CF Montreal +1.25 | 75% | 1.14 | -14.4% |
| CF Montreal +0.75 | 64% | 1.26 | -19.1% |
| CF Montreal +1 | 70% | 1.16 | -19.2% |
| CF Montreal +0.5 | 59% | 1.36 | -20.3% |
| CF Montreal +0.25 | 52% | 1.45 | -24.4% |
| CF Montreal -0.25 | 39% | 1.86 | -27.2% |
| CF Montreal 0 | 46% | 1.59 | -27.5% |
| CF Montreal -1 | 23% | 3.12 | -28.4% |
| CF Montreal -0.75 | 28% | 2.50 | -30.8% |
| CF Montreal -0.5 | 32% | 2.10 | -31.9% |
| CF Montreal -1.25 | 18% | 3.54 | -35.3% |
| CF Montreal -1.75 | 11% | 5.00 | -43.8% |
| CF Montreal -1.5 | 14% | 3.70 | -49.9% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 46% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 51% |
| GradientBoosting | Away | 40% |
Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.
Expected goals: 1.21 for the home side, 1.39 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1.25 start at odds 1.29, with 82% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Los Angeles Galaxy 0 at 2.35 (+28.1% value).
Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our model makes a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.6 scoreline for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.53 for CF Montreal and 1.65 for Los Angeles Galaxy. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do CF Montreal and Los Angeles Galaxy play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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