⚽ Brazilian Série A
Chapecoense vs Internacional Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chapecoense vs Internacional in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Result: Chapecoense 1-2 Internacional
Chapecoense vs Internacional finished 1-2. Internacional won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.33, landed.
Chapecoense face Internacional in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Chapecoense have 2 wins from their last 5, while Internacional have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Internacional win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.2-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chapecoense vs Internacional with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Chapecoense vs Internacional comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Internacional win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Chapecoense come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Corinthians. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Internacional.
- DAtlético Mineiro 1-1 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
- LChapecoense 1-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
- WCorinthians 1-2 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
- LGrêmio 3-1 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
- WChapecoense 1-0 São PauloBrazilian Série A
Internacional come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Chapecoense. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at São Paulo.
- LSão Paulo 1-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
- WChapecoense 1-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
- LInternacional 2-3 SantosBrazilian Série A
- LGrêmio 3-1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
- LBahia 3-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Giovanni AugustoNot in squad
- HeitorNot in squad
- Max AlvesInjury
- Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
- Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
- Vinicius BalieiroNot in squad
- B. AguirreSuspended (cards)
- B. ArhinHamstring Injury
- CalebeNot in squad
- KaykyAnkle Injury
- Matheus BahiaSuspended (red card)
- S. RochetLower Back Injury
- Victor GabrielSuspended (red card)
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Chapecoense at 20% to win and Internacional at 55%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Internacional win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional Win | 55% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 25% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
| Chapecoense Win | 20% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Internacional or Draw at 1.30 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional or Draw | 79% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Chapecoense or Draw | 45% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Chapecoense or Internacional is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional +1.5 | 93% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Internacional +1.25 | 89% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Internacional +1 | 86% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Internacional +0.75 | 82% | 77% | @ 1.24 |
| Internacional +0.5 | 79% | 71% | @ 1.34 |
| Chapecoense +1.75 | 74% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Internacional +0.25 | 73% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Chapecoense +1.5 | 69% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Internacional 0 | 67% | 60% | @ 1.59 |
| Chapecoense +1.25 | 63% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Internacional -0.25 | 61% | 50% | @ 1.93 |
| Chapecoense +1 | 57% | 72% | 1.31 |
| Internacional -0.5 | 55% | 43% | @ 2.21 |
| Chapecoense +0.75 | 51% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Internacional -0.75 | 49% | 36% | @ 2.63 |
| Chapecoense +0.5 | 45% | 57% | 1.67 |
| Internacional -1 | 43% | 28% | @ 3.46 |
| Chapecoense +0.25 | 39% | 50% | 1.93 |
| Internacional -1.25 | 37% | 25% | @ 3.81 |
| Chapecoense 0 | 33% | 40% | 2.38 |
| Internacional -1.5 | 31% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| Chapecoense -0.25 | 27% | 34% | 2.81 |
| Internacional -1.75 | 27% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Chapecoense -0.5 | 21% | 29% | 3.29 |
| Chapecoense -0.75 | 18% | 23% | 4.12 |
| Chapecoense -1 | 14% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Chapecoense -1.25 | 11% | 15% | 6.40 |
| Chapecoense -1.5 | 7% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chapecoense vs Internacional?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Chapecoense vs Internacional?
Our model makes an Internacional win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.9 scoreline for Chapecoense vs Internacional.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense vs Internacional?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Chapecoense and 1.90 for Internacional. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Chapecoense and Internacional play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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