Chapecoense-scvsInternacional

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00 UTC.

Chapecoense-sc face Internacional in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00 UTC. Recent form: Chapecoense-sc have 2 wins from their last 5, while Internacional have 0 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Internacional win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.2-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.28
82%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.20 – 1.90 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.5% 8.6% 8.1% 5.1% 2.4%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.8% 6.2% 2.9%
2 3.2% 6.2% 5.9% 3.7% 1.8%
3 1.3% 2.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Chapecoense-sc winDrawInternacional win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates an Internacional win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is an Internacional win at odds 2.20 (+20.2% model value).

Best value
Internacional Win at odds 2.20, 55% model probability, +20.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Chapecoense-sc 20%Draw 25%Internacional 55%
20%25%55%
55%
Internacional Win
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes
+20.2%
Best value: Internacional Win

📈 Recent form

Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Corinthians. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Gremio.

  • WCorinthians 1-2 Chapecoense-scBrazilian Série A
  • LGremio 3-1 Chapecoense-scBrazilian Série A
  • WChapecoense-sc 1-0 Sao PauloBrazilian Série A
  • DChapecoense-sc 3-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
  • LCoritiba 2-1 Chapecoense-scBrazilian Série A
Internacional

Internacional come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Santos.

  • LInternacional 2-3 SantosBrazilian Série A
  • LGremio 3-1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
  • LBahia 3-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
  • DInternacional 0-0 GremioCopa Do Brasil
  • DInternacional 0-0 Atletico-MGBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Chapecoense-sc
  • Bruno TubaraoNot in squad
  • Joao PauloHealth problems
  • Max AlvesInjury
  • Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
  • Vinicius BalieiroNot in squad
  • Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
Internacional
  • B. AguirreSuspended (cards)
  • AllexNot in squad
  • Matheus BahiaSuspended (red card)
  • B. ArhinHamstring Injury
  • KaykyAnkle Injury
  • S. RochetLower Back Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Chapecoense-sc at 20% to win and Internacional at 55%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Internacional win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Internacional Win 55% @ 2.20 +20.2%
Draw 25% @ 3.30 -17.1%
Chapecoense-sc Win 20% @ 3.40 -31.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Internacional or Draw at 1.30 (79% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Internacional or Draw 79% @ 1.30 +2.7%
Chapecoense-sc or Draw 45% @ 1.67 -25.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 3.5 38% @ 3.20 +20.0%
Over 2.5 60% @ 1.85 +10.8%
Over 1.5 82% @ 1.28 +4.4%
Under 3.5 62% @ 1.36 -15.0%
Under 2.5 40% @ 1.95 -21.8%
Under 1.5 18% @ 3.75 -30.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS Yes 60% @ 1.67 -0.1%
BTTS No 40% @ 2.10 -15.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 82% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is an Internacional win at 2.20 (+20.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional?

Our model makes an Internacional win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.9 scoreline for Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional.

What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.90 for Internacional. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Chapecoense-sc and Internacional play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.