⚽ Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Chicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Inter Miami or Draw at 1.68, landed.
Chicago Fire face Inter Miami in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Chicago Fire have 3 wins from their last 5, while Inter Miami have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Chicago Fire won 1, Inter Miami won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.9-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| 2 | 2.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Inter Miami with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points yes (74%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami. Wins shown from Chicago Fire’s perspective: Chicago Fire 1 · 1 drawn · Inter Miami 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 1 | Inter Miami | D |
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami | 3 – 2 | Chicago Fire | L |
| 2024-09-01 | Chicago Fire | 1 – 4 | Inter Miami | L |
| 2024-07-20 | Inter Miami | 2 – 1 | Chicago Fire | L |
| 2023-10-05 | Chicago Fire | 4 – 1 | Inter Miami | W |
📈 Recent form
Chicago Fire come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Nashville SC.
- LNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DToronto FC 4-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Inter Miami come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cruz Azul. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- WInter Miami 2-0 Cruz AzulCampeones Cup
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. BambaLower-Body Injury
- A. FrancoKnee Injury
- M. MbokaziLower-Body Injury
- T. AllendeKnee Injury
- G. LujanLeg Injury
- MicaelInjury
- S. MoralesMuscle Injury
- S. ReguilonInjury
- M. SilvettiInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Chicago Fire at 28% to win and Inter Miami at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami Win | 48% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
| Chicago Fire Win | 28% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.60 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami or Draw | 73% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Chicago Fire or Draw | 53% | 64% | @ 1.48 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 90% | @ 1.04 |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 | 41% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | 24% | @ 3.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 8% | 10% | @ 9.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 74%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 74% | 75% | @ 1.24 |
| BTTS No | 26% | 25% | @ 3.65 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Chicago Fire or Inter Miami is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami +2 | 93% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Inter Miami +1.75 | 91% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Inter Miami +1.5 | 89% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Inter Miami +1.25 | 85% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Inter Miami +1 | 81% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Chicago Fire +1.75 | 80% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Inter Miami +0.75 | 77% | 65% | @ 1.46 |
| Chicago Fire +1.5 | 76% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Inter Miami +0.5 | 73% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Chicago Fire +1.25 | 70% | 76% | 1.23 |
| Inter Miami +0.25 | 66% | 54% | @ 1.76 |
| Chicago Fire +1 | 65% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Inter Miami 0 | 60% | 46% | @ 2.07 |
| Chicago Fire +0.75 | 59% | 69% | 1.39 |
| Inter Miami -0.25 | 53% | 41% | @ 2.31 |
| Chicago Fire +0.5 | 53% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Inter Miami -0.5 | 47% | 37% | @ 2.53 |
| Chicago Fire +0.25 | 47% | 59% | 1.64 |
| Inter Miami -0.75 | 41% | 31% | @ 3.04 |
| Chicago Fire 0 | 40% | 54% | 1.77 |
| Inter Miami -1 | 35% | 25% | @ 3.77 |
| Chicago Fire -0.25 | 34% | 46% | 2.10 |
| Inter Miami -1.25 | 30% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| Chicago Fire -0.5 | 27% | 42% | 2.25 |
| Inter Miami -1.5 | 24% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Chicago Fire -0.75 | 23% | 35% | 2.75 |
| Inter Miami -1.75 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Chicago Fire -1 | 19% | 28% | 3.42 |
| Chicago Fire -1.25 | 15% | 26% | 3.69 |
| Chicago Fire -1.5 | 11% | 24% | 3.80 |
| Chicago Fire -1.75 | 9% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Chicago Fire -2 | 7% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
Our model's main pick is Inter Miami with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.9-2.2 scoreline for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Chicago Fire and 2.25 for Inter Miami. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Chicago Fire and Inter Miami play?
Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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