⚽ Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Columbus Crew face CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Columbus Crew won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 2.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.50

66%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.22 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
1	7.6%	8.8%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
2	8.4%	9.7%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	6.2%	7.2%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
4	3.4%	4.0%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Columbus Crew winDrawCF Montreal win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a Columbus Crew win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.50, 66% model probability, -1.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Columbus Crew 59%Draw 22%CF Montreal 19%

59%22%19%

59%

Columbus Crew Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

-1.6%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Columbus Crew and CF Montreal. Wins shown from Columbus Crew’s perspective: Columbus Crew 3 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-05-15	CF Montreal	1 – 3	Columbus Crew	W
2024-04-27	Columbus Crew	0 – 0	CF Montreal	D
2023-10-22	Columbus Crew	2 – 1	CF Montreal	W
2023-09-02	CF Montreal	2 – 4	Columbus Crew	W

📈 Recent form

Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Atlas. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Charlotte.

LCharlotte 3-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
DColumbus Crew 1-1 U.N.A.M. – PumasLeagues Cup
WColumbus Crew 2-1 CF PachucaLeagues Cup
WColumbus Crew 3-1 AtlasLeagues Cup
DInter Miami 2-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

CF Montreal

CF Montreal come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Vancouver FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Inter Miami.

DCF Montreal 1-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
DCF Montreal 2-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
LCF Montreal 0-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
DCF Montreal 0-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WCF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver FCCanadian Championship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Columbus Crew

W. Abou AliKnee Injury
S. BangouraAnkle Injury
J. ThiareLeg Injury

CF Montreal

F. AmayaLower-Body Injury
W. CarmonaKnee Injury
B. HidalgoGroin Injury
E. MoralesToe Injury
A. SanchezNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Columbus Crew at 59% to win and CF Montreal at 19%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	22%	@ 4.30	-4.4%
CF Montreal Win	19%	@ 4.90	-5.9%
Columbus Crew Win	59%	@ 1.58	-7.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is CF Montreal or Draw at 2.30 (42% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
CF Montreal or Draw	42%	@ 2.30	-3.9%
Columbus Crew or Draw	81%	@ 1.17	-5.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	66%	@ 1.50	-1.6%
Over 3.5	44%	@ 2.25	-1.6%
Over 1.5	85%	@ 1.15	-2.2%
Under 3.5	56%	@ 1.62	-8.8%
Under 2.5	34%	@ 2.55	-12.4%
Under 1.5	15%	@ 5.25	-21.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	40%	@ 2.30	-7.1%
BTTS Yes	60%	@ 1.55	-7.6%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	74%
Dixon-Coles	Home	47%
GradientBoosting	Home	57%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.81 for the home side, 0.93 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with 66% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal?

Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline for Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal.

What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.22 for Columbus Crew and 1.16 for CF Montreal. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Columbus Crew and CF Montreal play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.