⚽ Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Columbus Crew 0-1 New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls finished 0-1. New York Red Bulls won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Columbus Crew or Draw at 1.29, did not land.
Columbus Crew face New York Red Bulls in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Columbus Crew have 1 win from their last 5, while New York Red Bulls have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Columbus Crew won 2, New York Red Bulls won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.9-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Columbus Crew win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls. Wins shown from Columbus Crew’s perspective: Columbus Crew 2 · New York Red Bulls 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Columbus Crew | 0 – 1 | New York Red Bulls | L |
| 2026-05-13 | New York Red Bulls | 3 – 2 | Columbus Crew | L |
| 2024-10-29 | Columbus Crew | 0 – 1 | New York Red Bulls | L |
| 2024-10-20 | New York Red Bulls | 2 – 3 | Columbus Crew | W |
| 2024-03-16 | Columbus Crew | 3 – 0 | New York Red Bulls | W |
📈 Recent form
Columbus Crew come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Colorado Rapids. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to New York Red Bulls.
- WCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
- LColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LDC United 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 3-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at New York City FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Los Angeles FC.
- WNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- LNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- W. Abou AliKnee Injury
- S. BangouraAnkle Injury
- R. CamachoFoot Injury
- J. CheAnkle Injury
- A. MarcucciKnee Injury
- J. Marshall-RuttyInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Columbus Crew at 52% to win and New York Red Bulls at 25%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew Win | 52% | 50% | @ 1.87 |
| New York Red Bulls Win | 25% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Columbus Crew or Draw at 1.29 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew or Draw | 76% | 73% | @ 1.29 |
| New York Red Bulls or Draw | 49% | 50% | @ 1.88 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 69% | @ 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 | 58% | 51% | @ 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 49% | @ 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 31% | @ 3.05 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 14% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 68% | @ 1.35 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 32% | @ 2.88 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Columbus Crew or New York Red Bulls is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew +1.25 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Columbus Crew +1 | 83% | 86% | 1.11 |
| New York Red Bulls +2 | 81% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Columbus Crew +0.75 | 80% | 81% | 1.17 |
| New York Red Bulls +1.75 | 77% | 72% | @ 1.31 |
| Columbus Crew +0.5 | 76% | 76% | 1.24 |
| New York Red Bulls +1.5 | 73% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Columbus Crew +0.25 | 69% | 73% | 1.29 |
| New York Red Bulls +1.25 | 67% | 63% | @ 1.52 |
| Columbus Crew 0 | 63% | 70% | 1.36 |
| New York Red Bulls +1 | 61% | 58% | @ 1.65 |
| Columbus Crew -0.25 | 57% | 61% | 1.56 |
| New York Red Bulls +0.75 | 55% | 51% | @ 1.89 |
| Columbus Crew -0.5 | 51% | 55% | 1.74 |
| New York Red Bulls +0.5 | 49% | 45% | @ 2.11 |
| Columbus Crew -0.75 | 45% | 49% | 1.96 |
| New York Red Bulls +0.25 | 43% | 39% | @ 2.44 |
| Columbus Crew -1 | 39% | 42% | 2.27 |
| New York Red Bulls 0 | 37% | 30% | @ 3.13 |
| Columbus Crew -1.25 | 33% | 37% | 2.54 |
| New York Red Bulls -0.25 | 31% | 27% | @ 3.56 |
| Columbus Crew -1.5 | 27% | 34% | 2.81 |
| New York Red Bulls -0.5 | 24% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Columbus Crew -1.75 | 23% | 28% | 3.46 |
| New York Red Bulls -0.75 | 20% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Columbus Crew -2 | 19% | 21% | 4.40 |
| New York Red Bulls -1 | 17% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| New York Red Bulls -1.25 | 13% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?
Our model's main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +1.75 start at odds 1.31, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?
Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.4 scoreline for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls.
What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Columbus Crew and 1.42 for New York Red Bulls. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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