⚽ Brazilian Série A

Corinthians vs Santos Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Corinthians vs Santos in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Corinthians face Santos in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Corinthians have 1 win from their last 5, while Santos have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Corinthians won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.9-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Corinthians vs Santos with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.38

80%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.90 – 1.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	5.5%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
1	9.6%	10.4%	5.7%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.9%	5.4%	2.0%	0.5%
3	5.7%	6.3%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.7%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Corinthians winDrawSantos win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Corinthians vs Santos is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.38, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Corinthians win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.15 (+23.5% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.15, 58% model probability, +23.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Corinthians 54%Draw 28%Santos 18%

54%28%18%

54%

Corinthians Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

+23.5%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Corinthians and Santos. Wins shown from Corinthians’s perspective: Corinthians 1 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2023-10-29	Corinthians	1 – 1	Santos	D
2023-06-21	Santos	0 – 2	Corinthians	W

📈 Recent form

Corinthians

Corinthians come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at RB Bragantino. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Coritiba.

LCoritiba 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
WCorinthians 1-0 Rosario CentralCONMEBOL Libertadores
LCorinthians 1-2 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
DRosario Central 0-0 CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores
WRB Bragantino 0-2 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A

Santos

Santos come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Vasco DA Gama.

DSantos 1-1 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DMacara 0-0 SantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana
DSantos 3-3 Alianza UniversidadSegunda División
WVasco DA Gama 0-3 SantosBrazilian Série A
WSantos 2-1 MacaraCONMEBOL Sudamericana

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Corinthians at 54% to win and Santos at 18%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Corinthians Win	54%	@ 1.83	-0.8%
Draw	28%	@ 3.40	-5.5%
Santos Win	18%	@ 4.40	-20.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Corinthians or Draw at 1.20 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Corinthians or Draw	80%	@ 1.20	-4.3%
Santos or Draw	44%	@ 1.93	-15.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	35%	@ 3.95	+38.4%
Over 2.5	58%	@ 2.15	+23.5%
Over 1.5	80%	@ 1.38	+10.3%
Under 3.5	65%	@ 1.25	-18.8%
Under 2.5	42%	@ 1.67	-28.9%
Under 1.5	20%	@ 3.00	-39.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	57%	@ 1.95	+11.1%
BTTS No	43%	@ 1.77	-23.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Santos?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.38, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.15 (+23.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Santos?

Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline for Corinthians vs Santos.

What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Santos?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.90 for Corinthians and 1.09 for Santos. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Corinthians and Santos play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.