Sun 30 Aug0-1Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Corinthians vs Santos Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Corinthians vs Santos in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Corinthians 0-1 Santos

Corinthians vs Santos finished 0-1. Santos won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Corinthians face Santos in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Corinthians have 1 win from their last 5, while Santos have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Corinthians won 1, Santos won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.9-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Corinthians vs Santos with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.34

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.85 – 1.08 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	5.8%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
1	9.9%	10.7%	5.8%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.9%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.6%	6.1%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.6%	2.8%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Corinthians winDrawSantos win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Corinthians vs Santos comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Corinthians win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Corinthians 54%Draw 28%Santos 18%

54%28%18%

54%

Corinthians Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Corinthians and Santos. Wins shown from Corinthians’s perspective: Corinthians 1 · 1 drawn · Santos 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-30	Corinthians	0 – 1	Santos	L
2023-10-29	Corinthians	1 – 1	Santos	D
2023-06-21	Santos	0 – 2	Corinthians	W

📈 Recent form

Corinthians

Corinthians come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Fluminense.

LCorinthians 1-3 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
LCorinthians 0-1 Estudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores
LFlamengo 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
DEstudiantes L.P. 1-1 CorinthiansCONMEBOL Libertadores
LCorinthians 1-2 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A

Santos

Santos come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Atlético Mineiro. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at Atlético Mineiro.

WRemo 1-2 SantosBrazilian Série A
LAtlético Mineiro 4-2 SantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana
WSantos 2-1 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
WSantos 2-0 Atlético MineiroCONMEBOL Sudamericana
WInternacional 2-3 SantosBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Corinthians

AndreMuscle Injury
Andre RamalhoNot in squad
Breno BidonSuspended (cards)
KaykeKnee Injury
Z. LabyadKnee Injury
VitinhoKnee Injury
Yuri AlbertoMuscle Injury

Santos

Gabriel MeninoKnee Injury
Joao SchmidtSuspended (cards)
Vinicius LiraKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Corinthians at 54% to win and Santos at 18%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Corinthians Win	54%	50%	@ 1.85
Draw	28%	27%	@ 3.40
Santos Win	18%	22%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Corinthians or Draw at 1.21 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Corinthians or Draw	80%	78%	@ 1.21
Santos or Draw	44%	50%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	70%	@ 1.34
Under 3.5	66%	76%	@ 1.24
Over 2.5	56%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	44%	55%	@ 1.70
Over 3.5	34%	24%	@ 3.85
Under 1.5	21%	30%	@ 3.15

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	48%	@ 1.92
BTTS No	44%	52%	@ 1.79

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Corinthians or Santos is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Corinthians +0.75	83%	83%	1.14
Corinthians +0.5	80%	–	1.21
Santos +2	77%	86%	1.11
Corinthians +0.25	74%	75%	1.26
Santos +1.75	73%	78%	1.22
Santos +1.5	68%	73%	1.29
Corinthians 0	68%	70%	1.34
Santos +1.25	62%	69%	1.38
Corinthians -0.25	62%	60%	1.59
Santos +1	56%	64%	1.48
Corinthians -0.5	56%	52%	@ 1.82
Santos +0.75	50%	55%	1.72
Corinthians -0.75	50%	45%	@ 2.12
Santos +0.5	44%	48%	1.96
Corinthians -1	44%	36%	@ 2.67
Santos +0.25	38%	40%	2.37
Corinthians -1.25	38%	31%	@ 3.08
Santos 0	32%	30%	@ 3.16
Corinthians -1.5	32%	27%	@ 3.44
Corinthians -1.75	27%	22%	@ 4.26
Santos -0.25	26%	25%	3.78
Corinthians -2	23%	14%	@ 6.60
Santos -0.75	17%	17%	5.75

📈 How the market moved

Corinthians 51%Draw 28%Santos 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Santos?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Santos?

Our model makes a Corinthians win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline for Corinthians vs Santos.

What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Santos?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.85 for Corinthians and 1.08 for Santos. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Corinthians and Santos play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.