vs
⚽ Brazilian Série A
Coritiba vs Palmeiras Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Coritiba vs Palmeiras in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Wednesday 22 July 2026, 22:30 UTC.
Result: Coritiba 1-3 Palmeiras
Coritiba vs Palmeiras finished 1-3. Palmeiras won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Coritiba Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.32, did not land.
Coritiba face Palmeiras in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Wednesday 22 July 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Coritiba have 2 wins from their last 5, while Palmeiras have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Coritiba won 1, Palmeiras won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Coritiba vs Palmeiras with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Coritiba vs Palmeiras is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Coritiba Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a Palmeiras win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Palmeiras to win by 1+ goals at odds 2.99 (+130.2% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Coritiba at 19% to win and Palmeiras at 50%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 31% | 3.45 | +7.1% |
| Palmeiras Win | 50% | 1.77 | -11.1% |
| Coritiba Win | 19% | 4.65 | -12.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Palmeiras or Draw at 1.20 (81% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras or Draw | 81% | 1.20 | -2.5% |
| Coritiba or Draw | 50% | 1.95 | -2.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.20 | +7.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 4.20 | +7.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 1.40 | +1.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 1.22 | -9.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.65 | -15.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 27% | 2.90 | -20.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 48% | 2.00 | -4.1% |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 | -10.0% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Coritiba or Palmeiras is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras -2 | 88% | 6.00 | +426.9% |
| Palmeiras -1.75 | 85% | 4.22 | +258.6% |
| Palmeiras -1.5 | 82% | 3.43 | +181.8% |
| Palmeiras -1.25 | 77% | 2.99 | +130.2% |
| Coritiba -1 | 28% | 6.80 | +91.7% |
| Palmeiras -1 | 72% | 2.56 | +84.2% |
| Coritiba -0.25 | 45% | 3.95 | +77.6% |
| Coritiba -0.5 | 38% | 4.56 | +75.7% |
| Palmeiras -0.75 | 67% | 2.09 | +39.3% |
| Coritiba +0.25 | 58% | 2.40 | +38.7% |
| Coritiba +0.5 | 64% | 1.93 | +23.9% |
| Coritiba +0.75 | 69% | 1.76 | +22.0% |
| Palmeiras -0.5 | 62% | 1.86 | +14.5% |
| Coritiba +1 | 74% | 1.51 | +11.9% |
| Coritiba +1.5 | 84% | 1.32 | +10.9% |
| Coritiba +1.25 | 79% | 1.40 | +10.3% |
| Coritiba +1.75 | 87% | 1.24 | +6.9% |
| Coritiba +2 | 89% | 1.12 | -0.1% |
| Palmeiras -0.25 | 55% | 1.58 | -13.0% |
| Palmeiras +0.25 | 42% | 1.25 | -47.0% |
| Palmeiras +0.5 | 36% | 1.21 | -56.9% |
| Palmeiras +0.75 | 31% | 1.15 | -64.5% |
| Palmeiras +1 | 26% | 1.10 | -71.5% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Palmeiras?
Our main pick is Coritiba Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.32, with 84% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Palmeiras to win by 1+ goals at 2.99 (+130.2% value).
Who is the favourite for Coritiba vs Palmeiras?
Our model makes a Palmeiras win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Coritiba vs Palmeiras.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Palmeiras?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.39 for Coritiba and 1.33 for Palmeiras. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Coritiba and Palmeiras play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 22 July 2026, 22:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
More predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.