⚽ Major League Soccer
DC United vs Atlanta United FC Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for DC United vs Atlanta United FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: DC United 0-0 Atlanta United FC
DC United vs Atlanta United FC finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, both teams to score at 1.50, did not land.
DC United face Atlanta United FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: DC United have no wins from their last 5, while Atlanta United FC have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, DC United won 1, Atlanta United FC won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a DC United win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.7-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for DC United vs Atlanta United FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for DC United vs Atlanta United FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Atlanta United FC with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a DC United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between DC United and Atlanta United FC. Wins shown from DC United’s perspective: DC United 1 · 2 drawn · Atlanta United FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | DC United | 0 – 0 | Atlanta United FC | D |
| 2024-06-19 | DC United | 0 – 1 | Atlanta United FC | L |
| 2024-05-11 | Atlanta United FC | 2 – 3 | DC United | W |
| 2023-09-20 | DC United | 1 – 1 | Atlanta United FC | D |
| 2023-06-10 | Atlanta United FC | 3 – 1 | DC United | L |
📈 Recent form
DC United come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Columbus Crew. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Charlotte.
- LDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LCharlotte 3-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Atlanta United FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Portland Timbers. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Orlando City SC.
- WPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- PeglowSuspended (cards)
- G. SegalLeg Injury
- S. AlzateIllness
- Giuliano GaloppoNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices DC United at 40% to win and Atlanta United FC at 33%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a DC United win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United Win | 40% | 45% | @ 2.07 |
| Atlanta United FC Win | 33% | 29% | @ 3.20 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is DC United or Draw at 1.33 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United or Draw | 66% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Atlanta United FC or Draw | 60% | 55% | @ 1.72 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 80% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 | 56% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Under 1.5 | 15% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 61% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 39% | @ 2.38 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when DC United or Atlanta United FC is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United +1.75 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| DC United +1.5 | 86% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.75 | 84% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.5 | 81% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| DC United +1.25 | 81% | 83% | 1.14 |
| DC United +1 | 76% | – | 1.19 |
| Atlanta United FC +1.25 | 76% | 74% | 1.28 |
| DC United +0.75 | 71% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Atlanta United FC +1 | 71% | 71% | 1.34 |
| DC United +0.5 | 66% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.75 | 65% | 63% | 1.52 |
| DC United +0.25 | 60% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.5 | 60% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| DC United 0 | 53% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Atlanta United FC +0.25 | 53% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| DC United -0.25 | 47% | 50% | 1.94 |
| Atlanta United FC 0 | 47% | 42% | @ 2.27 |
| DC United -0.5 | 40% | 44% | 2.19 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.25 | 40% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| DC United -0.75 | 35% | 37% | 2.54 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.5 | 34% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
| DC United -1 | 29% | 29% | 3.29 |
| Atlanta United FC -0.75 | 29% | 26% | @ 3.62 |
| DC United -1.25 | 24% | 26% | 3.62 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.25 | 19% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| DC United -1.5 | 19% | 24% | 3.90 |
| DC United -1.75 | 16% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.5 | 14% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Atlanta United FC -1.75 | 12% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for DC United vs Atlanta United FC?
Our model's main pick is Atlanta United FC with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for DC United vs Atlanta United FC?
Our model makes a DC United win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.7 scoreline for DC United vs Atlanta United FC.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs Atlanta United FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.73 for DC United and 1.68 for Atlanta United FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do DC United and Atlanta United FC play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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