⚽ Major League Soccer
DC United vs New England Revolution Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for DC United vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: DC United 0-3 New England Revolution
DC United vs New England Revolution finished 0-3. New England Revolution won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
DC United face New England Revolution in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, DC United won 2, New England Revolution won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a DC United win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.8-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for DC United vs New England Revolution with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for DC United vs New England Revolution comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New England Revolution with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a DC United win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (69%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between DC United and New England Revolution. Wins shown from DC United’s perspective: DC United 2 · New England Revolution 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | DC United | 0 – 3 | New England Revolution | L |
| 2026-04-11 | New England Revolution | 1 – 0 | DC United | L |
| 2024-10-05 | New England Revolution | 1 – 2 | DC United | W |
| 2024-02-25 | DC United | 3 – 1 | New England Revolution | W |
| 2023-07-15 | New England Revolution | 4 – 0 | DC United | L |
📈 Recent form
DC United come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Columbus Crew. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Charlotte.
- LDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- WDC United 2-1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LCharlotte 3-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Orlando City SC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Los Angeles Galaxy.
- WNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WChicago Fire 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- LLos Angeles Galaxy 2-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- WColumbus Crew 1-3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- PeglowThigh Injury
- K. RowlesThigh Injury
- G. SegalLeg Injury
- L. CampanaHamstring Injury
- A. FarrellLower-Body Injury
- I. FeingoldLower-Body Injury
- L. LangoniLower-Body Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices DC United at 38% to win and New England Revolution at 35%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a DC United win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United Win | 38% | 46% | @ 2.02 |
| New England Revolution Win | 35% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is DC United or Draw at 1.30 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United or Draw | 65% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| New England Revolution or Draw | 62% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Under 3.5 | 52% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 69%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 58% | @ 1.61 |
| BTTS No | 31% | 42% | @ 2.18 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when DC United or New England Revolution is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution +2 | 88% | 86% | 1.11 |
| New England Revolution +1.75 | 86% | 82% | 1.16 |
| DC United +1.5 | 85% | – | 1.09 |
| New England Revolution +1.5 | 83% | 75% | @ 1.24 |
| DC United +1.25 | 80% | 85% | 1.12 |
| New England Revolution +1.25 | 77% | 74% | 1.28 |
| DC United +1 | 75% | 84% | 1.13 |
| New England Revolution +1 | 72% | 70% | 1.35 |
| DC United +0.75 | 70% | 76% | 1.25 |
| New England Revolution +0.75 | 67% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| DC United +0.5 | 65% | 71% | 1.33 |
| New England Revolution +0.5 | 62% | 55% | @ 1.71 |
| DC United +0.25 | 58% | 66% | 1.45 |
| New England Revolution +0.25 | 55% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| DC United 0 | 52% | 60% | 1.59 |
| New England Revolution 0 | 48% | 40% | @ 2.35 |
| DC United -0.25 | 45% | 51% | 1.90 |
| New England Revolution -0.25 | 42% | 34% | @ 2.78 |
| DC United -0.5 | 38% | 45% | 2.09 |
| New England Revolution -0.5 | 35% | 29% | @ 3.22 |
| DC United -0.75 | 33% | 38% | 2.50 |
| New England Revolution -0.75 | 30% | 24% | @ 4.03 |
| DC United -1 | 28% | 30% | 3.22 |
| New England Revolution -1 | 25% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| DC United -1.25 | 23% | 26% | 3.67 |
| New England Revolution -1.25 | 20% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| DC United -1.5 | 17% | 25% | 3.70 |
| DC United -1.75 | 14% | 18% | 5.25 |
| DC United -2 | 12% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for DC United vs New England Revolution?
Our model's main pick is New England Revolution with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for DC United vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a DC United win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.8 scoreline for DC United vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.79 for DC United and 1.81 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do DC United and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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