⚽ La Liga
Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla in the La Liga. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Deportivo La Coruña 0-1 Sevilla
Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla finished 0-1. Sevilla won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.40, did not land.
Deportivo La Coruña face Sevilla in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Deportivo La Coruña have 2 wins from their last 4, while Sevilla have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Deportivo La Coruña come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Valencia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Sevilla.
- DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
- LDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
- WVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
- WDeportivo La Coruña 3-1 ValenciaLa Liga
Sevilla come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Deportivo La Coruña. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Barcelona.
- LSevilla 1-3 BarcelonaLa Liga
- WDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
- WSevilla 1-0 ValenciaLa Liga
- DEspanyol 1-1 SevillaLa Liga
- LSevilla 1-3 Atlético MadridLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. CarrilloAnkle Injury
- A. SanganteAnkle Injury
- R. VargasKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Deportivo La Coruña at 47% to win and Sevilla at 25%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña Win | 47% | 39% | @ 2.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Sevilla Win | 25% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Deportivo La Coruña or Draw at 1.36 (74% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña or Draw | 74% | 68% | @ 1.36 |
| Sevilla or Draw | 52% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Under 3.5 | 67% | 78% | @ 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 41% | @ 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 52% | @ 1.80 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Deportivo La Coruña or Sevilla is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña +1.5 | 90% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +1.25 | 86% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +1 | 82% | – | 1.15 |
| Sevilla +1.75 | 79% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +0.75 | 78% | – | 1.27 |
| Sevilla +1.5 | 75% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +0.5 | 74% | 68% | @ 1.41 |
| Sevilla +1.25 | 69% | 80% | 1.19 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +0.25 | 67% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Sevilla +1 | 63% | – | 1.23 |
| Deportivo La Coruña 0 | 61% | 54% | @ 1.78 |
| Sevilla +0.75 | 58% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -0.25 | 55% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Sevilla +0.5 | 52% | 62% | 1.53 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -0.5 | 48% | 38% | @ 2.52 |
| Sevilla +0.25 | 45% | 56% | 1.72 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -0.75 | 42% | 31% | @ 3.10 |
| Sevilla 0 | 39% | 46% | 2.12 |
| Sevilla -0.25 | 33% | 38% | 2.53 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -1.25 | 31% | 20% | @ 4.83 |
| Sevilla -0.5 | 26% | 32% | 2.98 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -1.5 | 25% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -1.75 | 21% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Sevilla -1.25 | 14% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Sevilla -1.5 | 10% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.
Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla?
Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña vs Sevilla?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for Deportivo La Coruña and 1.25 for Sevilla. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Deportivo La Coruña and Sevilla play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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