⚽ La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla in the La Liga. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Deportivo La Coruna face Sevilla in the La Liga, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Deportivo La Coruna have 2 wins from their last 4, while Sevilla have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.40

79%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 1.24 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	6.8%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.1%	11.3%	7.0%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.4%	5.8%	2.4%	0.7%
3	4.2%	5.2%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.8%	2.2%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Deportivo La Coruna winDrawSevilla win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.20 (+22.4% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 2.20, 56% model probability, +22.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Deportivo La Coruna 47%Draw 28%Sevilla 25%

47%28%25%

47%

Deportivo La Coruna Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

+22.4%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

Deportivo La Coruna

Deportivo La Coruna come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Valencia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Real Madrid.

WVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
WDeportivo La Coruna 3-1 ValenciaLa Liga
DMalaga 1-1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
DDeportivo La Coruna 1-1 ElcheLa Liga
LDeportivo La Coruna 0-1 Real MadridFriendlies Clubs

Sevilla

Sevilla come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Athletic Club. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Atletico Madrid.

DEspanyol 1-1 SevillaLa Liga
LSevilla 1-3 Atletico MadridLa Liga
WAthletic Club 1-3 SevillaLa Liga
WSevilla 2-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
LBayer Leverkusen 2-1 SevillaFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Deportivo La Coruna at 47% to win and Sevilla at 25%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Deportivo La Coruna Win	47%	@ 2.38	+12.4%
Draw	28%	@ 3.20	-10.9%
Sevilla Win	25%	@ 3.10	-22.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Deportivo La Coruna or Draw at 1.40 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Deportivo La Coruna or Draw	74%	@ 1.40	+3.3%
Sevilla or Draw	52%	@ 1.50	-22.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	33%	@ 4.33	+44.0%
Over 2.5	56%	@ 2.20	+22.4%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.40	+10.2%
Under 3.5	67%	@ 1.22	-18.6%
Under 2.5	44%	@ 1.67	-25.9%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 3.00	-36.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	58%	@ 1.95	+12.6%
BTTS No	42%	@ 1.80	-24.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.40, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.20 (+22.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?

Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.24 for Sevilla. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.