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⚽ Premiership

Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Dundee Utd face Aberdeen in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Dundee Utd have 2 wins from their last 5, while Aberdeen have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.2-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 3.5 @ 1.44
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.25 – 1.05 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 10.0% 10.5% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5%
1 12.5% 13.2% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6%
2 7.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
3 3.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Dundee Utd winDrawAberdeen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Dundee Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Dundee Utd 41%Draw 26%Aberdeen 32%
41%26%32%
41%
Dundee Utd Win
60%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at St Mirren. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Motherwell.

  • DSt Johnstone 1-1 Dundee UtdPremiership
  • WDundee Utd 1-0 HibernianPremiership
  • WSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee UtdPremiership
  • DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
  • LMotherwell 3-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
Aberdeen

Aberdeen come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Motherwell. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to St Johnstone.

  • WAberdeen 3-1 St MirrenPremiership
  • LAberdeen 0-1 St JohnstonePremiership
  • WDunfermline 1-4 AberdeenFriendlies Clubs
  • DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
  • WMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dundee Utd at 41% to win and Aberdeen at 32%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Dundee Utd Win 41% 44% @ 2.10
Aberdeen Win 32% 30% @ 3.10
Draw 26% 26% @ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dundee Utd or Draw at 1.36 (68% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Dundee Utd or Draw 68% 70% @ 1.36
Aberdeen or Draw 59% 56% @ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 80% 66% @ 1.44
Over 1.5 67% 78% @ 1.22
Under 2.5 60% 45% @ 2.10
Over 2.5 40% 55% @ 1.73
Under 1.5 33% 22% @ 4.33
Over 3.5 20% 34% @ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 56% 42% @ 2.20
BTTS Yes 44% 58% @ 1.62

📈 How the market moved

23%35%48%10/1910/2010/2110/22

Dundee Utd 44%Draw 27%Aberdeen 29%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen?

Our model makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.1 scoreline for Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen.

What is the predicted score for Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.25 for Dundee Utd and 1.05 for Aberdeen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dundee Utd and Aberdeen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.