⚽ Premiership

Dundee Utd vs Dundee Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Dundee Utd vs Dundee in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Dundee Utd face Dundee in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Dundee Utd vs Dundee with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

75%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.44 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	8.5%	5.4%	2.3%	0.7%
1	9.6%	12.2%	7.7%	3.3%	1.0%
2	6.9%	8.8%	5.6%	2.4%	0.7%
3	3.3%	4.2%	2.7%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.5%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Dundee Utd winDrawDundee win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Dundee Utd vs Dundee is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Dundee Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 2.10 (+18.5% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 2.10, 56% model probability, +18.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Dundee Utd 43%Draw 20%Dundee 43%

43%20%43%

43%

Dundee Utd Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

+18.5%

Best value: BTTS No

📈 Recent form

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Spartans. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Celtic.

LDundee Utd 0-4 CelticLeague Cup
LHeart Of Midlothian 4-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 RangersPremiership
LSalford City 3-2 Dundee UtdFriendlies Clubs
WDundee Utd 4-0 SpartansLeague Cup

Dundee

Dundee come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Clyde. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Aberdeen.

LAberdeen 3-0 DundeeLeague Cup
WDundee 2-0 AberdeenPremiership
LCeltic 1-0 DundeePremiership
WDundee 4-0 ClydeLeague Cup
LDundee 0-4 EvertonFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Dundee Utd at 43% to win and Dundee at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Dundee Win	37%	@ 3.70	+35.9%
Dundee Utd Win	43%	@ 1.90	-18.1%
Draw	20%	@ 3.65	-26.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dundee or Draw at 1.85 (60% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Dundee or Draw	60%	@ 1.85	+11.0%
Dundee Utd or Draw	66%	@ 1.25	-17.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	49%	@ 2.00	-1.8%
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.38	-1.8%
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.25	-5.9%
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.80	-6.2%
Over 2.5	51%	@ 1.80	-8.4%
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.00	-13.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	56%	@ 2.10	+18.5%
BTTS Yes	44%	@ 1.70	-26.0%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	72%
Dixon-Coles	Away	64%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.37 for the home side, 1.23 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs Dundee?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 2.10 (+18.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs Dundee?

Our model makes a Dundee Utd win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for Dundee Utd vs Dundee.

What is the predicted score for Dundee Utd vs Dundee?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.44 for Dundee Utd and 1.27 for Dundee. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Dundee Utd and Dundee play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.