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⚽ Premiership

Falkirk vs Celtic Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Falkirk vs Celtic in the Premiership. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Falkirk face Celtic in the Premiership, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Falkirk have 3 wins from their last 5, while Celtic have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Celtic won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 84%, projecting a 0.8-3.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Falkirk vs Celtic with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Celtic Win @ 1.45

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.82 – 3.28 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.7%	5.4%	8.9%	9.7%	8.0%
1	1.4%	4.5%	7.3%	8.0%	6.6%
2	0.6%	1.8%	3.0%	3.3%	2.7%
3	0.2%	0.5%	0.8%	0.9%	0.7%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%

Projected score: 0-3

Falkirk winDrawCeltic win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Falkirk vs Celtic comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is a Celtic win at odds 1.45, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Celtic win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 84%. Goals lean over 2.5 (77%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Falkirk 6%Draw 10%Celtic 84%

10%84%

84%

Celtic Win

77%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Falkirk and Celtic. Wins shown from Falkirk’s perspective: Celtic 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Celtic	2 – 1	Falkirk	L
2026-04-25	Celtic	3 – 1	Falkirk	L

📈 Recent form

Falkirk

Falkirk come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Kilmarnock. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Dundee.

WAberdeen 0-1 FalkirkPremiership
WFalkirk 3-0 KilmarnockPremiership
WHibernian 1-2 FalkirkPremiership
LFalkirk 1-2 DundeePremiership
DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership

Celtic

Celtic come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 7-1 at home to Heart Of Midlothian. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Celta Vigo.

DCeltic 2-2 Dundee UtdPremiership
WHibernian 1-2 CelticPremiership
LCeltic 1-2 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
WCeltic 7-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
LBenfica 4-1 CelticUEFA Europa League

🧩 Line-ups

Celtic 4-2-3-1

26Johnstone

51Donovan

20Carter-Vickers

5Scales

63Tierney

42McGregor

22Baur

11Durán

21Oxlade-Chamberlain

19Osmand

23Hassan

24Murrell

42Eames

16Barbrook

23Ross

8Spencer

21Meļņiks

17Tanser

5Henderson

15Neilson

22Strain

19Bain

Falkirk 4-2-3-1

Celtic

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Coach: M. O'Neill

Substitutes1Sinisalo8Nygren47Murray29Mheuka14McCowan9Høgh49Forrest12Emenalo17Tounekti

Falkirk

Official starting XI (4-2-3-1)

Coach: J. McGlynn

Substitutes99Fodrey1Hogarth20Allan9MacIver27McLeod4McMillan7Parkinson10Sibbald14Yeats

Official line-ups as announced by the clubs before kick-off.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Falkirk at 6% to win and Celtic at 84%, with the draw at 10%. Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic Win	84%	64%	@ 1.45
Draw	10%	17%	@ 5.50
Falkirk Win	6%	19%	@ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Celtic or Draw at 1.17 (95% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Celtic or Draw	95%	81%	@ 1.17
Falkirk or Draw	17%	36%	@ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-3.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 77% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	91%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	77%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 3.5	58%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 3.5	42%	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	23%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	9%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	58%	@ 1.62
BTTS No	47%	42%	@ 2.20

📈 How the market moved

Falkirk 17%Draw 18%Celtic 65%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Falkirk vs Celtic?

Our model's pick is a Celtic win at odds 1.45, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 64%.

Who is the favourite for Falkirk vs Celtic?

Our model makes a Celtic win the most likely result at 84%. It projects an expected 0.8-3.3 scoreline for Falkirk vs Celtic.

What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Celtic?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-3, based on expected goals of 0.82 for Falkirk and 3.28 for Celtic. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Falkirk and Celtic play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.