⚽ Premiership

Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership. Kick-off Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Falkirk face Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership, kicking off Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Falkirk have 0 wins from their last 5, while Heart Of Midlothian have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 72%, projecting a 1.2-2.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Heart Of Midlothian or Draw @ 1.29

88%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.19 – 2.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.8%	5.0%	7.1%	6.8%	4.8%
1	2.1%	6.0%	8.5%	8.1%	5.8%
2	1.2%	3.6%	5.1%	4.8%	3.4%
3	0.5%	1.4%	2.0%	1.9%	1.4%
4	0.1%	0.4%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-2

Falkirk winDrawHeart Of Midlothian win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at odds 1.29, the selection our model is most confident in at 88%. On the match result, the model rates a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 72%. Goals lean over 2.5 (77%), both teams to score points yes (64%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.65 (+52.0% model value).

Best value

Over 3.5 at odds 2.65, 57% model probability, +52.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Falkirk 14%Draw 15%Heart Of Midlothian 72%

14%15%72%

72%

Heart Of Midlothian Win

77%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

+52.0%

Best value: Over 3.5

📈 Recent form

Falkirk

Falkirk come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Rangers.

DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LFalkirk 1-2 RangersPremiership
LCeltic 2-1 FalkirkPremiership
DMotherwell 0-0 FalkirkPremiership
LFalkirk 0-2 ST MirrenPremiership

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Hibernian. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
WHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 ST JohnstonePremiership
DRapid Vienna 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa Conference
DHeart Of Midlothian 2-2 Rapid ViennaUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Falkirk at 14% to win and Heart Of Midlothian at 72%, with the draw at 15%. Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Heart Of Midlothian Win	72%	@ 1.95	+40.0%
Draw	15%	@ 3.50	-49.0%
Falkirk Win	14%	@ 3.40	-53.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at 1.29 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw	88%	@ 1.29	+13.9%
Falkirk or Draw	30%	@ 1.79	-46.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 77% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	57%	@ 2.65	+52.0%
Over 2.5	77%	@ 1.65	+26.5%
Over 1.5	91%	@ 1.19	+8.4%
Under 3.5	43%	@ 1.44	-38.6%
Under 2.5	23%	@ 2.17	-49.4%
Under 1.5	9%	@ 4.35	-61.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.54	-0.9%
BTTS No	36%	@ 2.28	-18.7%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our main pick is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at odds 1.29, with 88% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.65 (+52.0% value).

Who is the favourite for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 72%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.9 scoreline for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian.

What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.19 for Falkirk and 2.85 for Heart Of Midlothian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Falkirk and Heart Of Midlothian play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.