Sat 24 Oct14:00Upcoming

⚽ Premiership

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Falkirk face Kilmarnock in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Falkirk have 2 wins from their last 5, while Kilmarnock have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.5-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Kilmarnock or Draw @ 1.91

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.49 – 2.11 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.7%	5.8%	6.1%	4.3%	2.3%
1	4.1%	8.6%	9.1%	6.4%	3.4%
2	3.0%	6.4%	6.8%	4.7%	2.5%
3	1.5%	3.2%	3.4%	2.4%	1.2%
4	0.6%	1.2%	1.2%	0.9%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-2

Falkirk winDrawKilmarnock win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Kilmarnock or Draw at odds 1.91, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Kilmarnock win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Falkirk 28%Draw 20%Kilmarnock 52%

28%20%52%

52%

Kilmarnock Win

70%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Falkirk

Falkirk come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Hibernian. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Dundee.

WHibernian 1-2 FalkirkPremiership
LFalkirk 1-2 DundeePremiership
DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
WFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Motherwell. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Rangers.

WKilmarnock 3-2 MotherwellPremiership
LRangers 3-1 KilmarnockPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
DKilmarnock 1-1 AberdeenLeague Cup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Falkirk at 28% to win and Kilmarnock at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kilmarnock Win	52%	24%	@ 3.80
Falkirk Win	28%	51%	@ 1.83
Draw	20%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kilmarnock or Draw at 1.91 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Kilmarnock or Draw	75%	49%	@ 1.91
Falkirk or Draw	50%	76%	@ 1.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	70%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 3.5	52%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 3.5	48%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 2.5	30%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	13%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	33%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Falkirk 51%Draw 25%Kilmarnock 24%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

Our model's pick is Kilmarnock or Draw at odds 1.91, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 49%.

Who is the favourite for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

Our model makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.5-2.1 scoreline for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock.

What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.49 for Falkirk and 2.11 for Kilmarnock. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Falkirk and Kilmarnock play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.