Sat 12 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.44, landed.

FC Augsburg face Bayer Leverkusen in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Augsburg have 4 wins from their last 5, while Bayer Leverkusen have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FC Augsburg won 2, Bayer Leverkusen won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.2-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 @ 1.25

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.21 – 2.03 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	8.0%	8.1%	5.5%	2.8%
1	4.7%	9.6%	9.8%	6.6%	3.4%
2	2.9%	5.8%	5.9%	4.0%	2.0%
3	1.2%	2.3%	2.4%	1.6%	0.8%
4	0.3%	0.7%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-2

FC Augsburg winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win or draw at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Augsburg 22%Draw 25%Bayer Leverkusen 52%

22%25%52%

52%

Bayer Leverkusen Win

63%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between FC Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen. Wins shown from FC Augsburg’s perspective: FC Augsburg 2 · 1 drawn · Bayer Leverkusen 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	FC Augsburg	2 – 2	Bayer Leverkusen	D
2026-04-18	Bayer Leverkusen	1 – 2	FC Augsburg	W
2025-12-06	FC Augsburg	2 – 0	Bayer Leverkusen	W
2025-04-26	Bayer Leverkusen	2 – 0	FC Augsburg	L
2024-12-14	FC Augsburg	0 – 2	Bayer Leverkusen	L

📈 Recent form

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Werder Bremen.

LWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WEintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgBundesliga
WFC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
WEnergie Cottbus 0-2 FC AugsburgDFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Union Berlin. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at SV Elversberg.

WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeUEFA Europa League
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
WBayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
LSV Elversberg 3-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FC Augsburg

T. BreithauptInjury
A. KadeInjury
S. MounieInjury
F. SakarAnkle Injury
S. SusoMuscle Injury

Bayer Leverkusen

M. CulbreathInjury
K. EichhornIllness
N. TellaInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Augsburg at 22% to win and Bayer Leverkusen at 52%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen Win	52%	53%	@ 1.80
Draw	25%	23%	@ 4.10
FC Augsburg Win	22%	24%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.22 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw	77%	76%	@ 1.22
FC Augsburg or Draw	47%	47%	@ 1.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	63%	68%	@ 1.40
Under 3.5	59%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 3.5	41%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 2.5	37%	32%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	17%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	66%	@ 1.40
BTTS No	39%	34%	@ 2.75

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Augsburg or Bayer Leverkusen is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bayer Leverkusen +1	84%	86%	1.10
Bayer Leverkusen +0.75	81%	80%	1.18
FC Augsburg +2	80%	79%	1.19
Bayer Leverkusen +0.5	77%	75%	1.25
FC Augsburg +1.75	76%	73%	1.31
FC Augsburg +1.5	71%	67%	@ 1.43
Bayer Leverkusen +0.25	71%	73%	1.31
FC Augsburg +1.25	65%	63%	1.51
Bayer Leverkusen 0	65%	69%	1.40
FC Augsburg +1	59%	59%	1.62
Bayer Leverkusen -0.25	59%	60%	1.60
FC Augsburg +0.75	53%	52%	1.84
Bayer Leverkusen -0.5	53%	53%	1.83
FC Augsburg +0.5	47%	47%	2.06
Bayer Leverkusen -0.75	47%	48%	2.03
FC Augsburg +0.25	41%	40%	2.38
Bayer Leverkusen -1	41%	41%	2.32
FC Augsburg 0	35%	31%	@ 3.04
Bayer Leverkusen -1.25	35%	37%	2.61
FC Augsburg -0.25	29%	27%	@ 3.48
Bayer Leverkusen -1.5	29%	33%	2.87
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75	24%	27%	3.47
FC Augsburg -0.5	23%	25%	3.80
Bayer Leverkusen -2	20%	21%	4.50
FC Augsburg -0.75	19%	20%	4.80
FC Augsburg -1	16%	14%	@ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

FC Augsburg 24%Draw 23%Bayer Leverkusen 53%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model's main pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win or draw at odds 1.25, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model makes a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.0 scoreline for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen.

What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.21 for FC Augsburg and 2.03 for Bayer Leverkusen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.