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⚽ Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Augsburg face Union Berlin in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Augsburg have 1 win from their last 5, while Union Berlin have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FC Augsburg won 2, Union Berlin won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Augsburg win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Augsburg or Draw @ 1.28

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.80 – 1.18 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	6.0%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.1%	10.8%	6.4%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.7%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.9%	5.8%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
4	2.2%	2.6%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Augsburg winDrawUnion Berlin win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is FC Augsburg or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Augsburg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Augsburg 47%Draw 29%Union Berlin 24%

47%29%24%

47%

FC Augsburg Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between FC Augsburg and Union Berlin. Wins shown from FC Augsburg’s perspective: FC Augsburg 2 · 1 drawn · Union Berlin 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-16	Union Berlin	4 – 0	FC Augsburg	L
2026-01-15	FC Augsburg	1 – 1	Union Berlin	D
2025-05-17	FC Augsburg	1 – 2	Union Berlin	L
2025-01-15	Union Berlin	0 – 2	FC Augsburg	W
2024-04-12	FC Augsburg	2 – 0	Union Berlin	W

📈 Recent form

FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 13. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at SV Elversberg.

LSV Elversberg 4-3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern MunichBundesliga
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs
LWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga

Union Berlin

Union Berlin come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to SV Elversberg. Their most recent defeat was 0-7 at Bayern Munich.

DUnion Berlin 0-0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
WUnion Berlin 1-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
LBayern Munich 7-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
LUnion Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
LBayer Leverkusen 4-0 Union BerlinBundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Augsburg at 47% to win and Union Berlin at 24%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a FC Augsburg win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Augsburg Win	47%	50%	@ 1.90
Draw	29%	25%	@ 3.80
Union Berlin Win	24%	26%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Augsburg or Draw at 1.28 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Augsburg or Draw	74%	74%	@ 1.28
Union Berlin or Draw	52%	50%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	65%	60%	@ 1.57
Over 2.5	57%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	43%	40%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	35%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	20%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	42%	39%	@ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

FC Augsburg 51%Draw 24%Union Berlin 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?

Our model's pick is FC Augsburg or Draw at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?

Our model makes a FC Augsburg win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin.

What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.80 for FC Augsburg and 1.18 for Union Berlin. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Augsburg and Union Berlin play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.