vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
FC Dallas face Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: FC Dallas have 3 wins from their last 5, while Portland Timbers have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, FC Dallas won 1, Portland Timbers won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.1-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Dallas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (70%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Portland Timbers or Draw at odds 2.02 (+6.5% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between FC Dallas and Portland Timbers. Wins shown from FC Dallas’s perspective: FC Dallas 1 · 2 drawn · Portland Timbers 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | Portland Timbers | 0 – 0 | FC Dallas | D |
| 2024-07-05 | FC Dallas | 3 – 2 | Portland Timbers | W |
| 2023-06-12 | Portland Timbers | 1 – 0 | FC Dallas | L |
| 2023-04-02 | FC Dallas | 1 – 1 | Portland Timbers | D |
📈 Recent form
FC Dallas come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at home to Sporting Kansas City. Their only defeat in that run was 0-5 at Vancouver Whitecaps.
- WFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- DSt. Louis City 3-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- LVancouver Whitecaps 5-0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WReal Salt Lake 3-4 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WAustin 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Portland Timbers come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to San Diego. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Austin.
- WPortland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- LPortland Timbers 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- DLos Angeles FC 1-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- WPortland Timbers 3-1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- LChicago Fire 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- DanielHamstring Injury
- A. A. Julio SantosInjury
- O. UrhoghideSuspended (cards)
- Geovane JesusKnee Injury
- P. MusaUpper-Body Injury
- A. AravenaHip Injury
- B. ByeLeg Injury
- J. CaicedoThigh Injury
- J. MosqueraFoot Injury
- T. MuseWrist Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FC Dallas at 46% to win and Portland Timbers at 26%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 28% | @ 4.10 | +13.3% |
| Portland Timbers Win | 26% | @ 3.90 | +1.8% |
| FC Dallas Win | 46% | @ 1.75 | -19.1% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portland Timbers or Draw at 2.02 (53% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers or Draw | 53% | @ 2.02 | +6.5% |
| FC Dallas or Draw | 73% | @ 1.24 | -9.7% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 52% | @ 1.92 | +0.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | @ 1.36 | -0.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | @ 1.09 | -2.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 48% | @ 1.83 | -13.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | @ 3.05 | -17.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 11% | @ 6.50 | -29.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | @ 1.36 | -4.9% |
| BTTS No | 30% | @ 2.88 | -13.3% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.36, with 73% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Portland Timbers or Draw at 2.02 (+6.5% value).
Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.7 scoreline for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers.
What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.10 for FC Dallas and 1.69 for Portland Timbers. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FC Dallas and Portland Timbers play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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