FC Nordsjaelland

Thu 22 Oct16:45Upcoming

CSKA Sofia

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

FC Nordsjaelland face CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely result at 80%, projecting a 3.4-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Nordsjaelland Win @ 1.40

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.44 – 0.61 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.7%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
1	6.0%	3.7%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
2	10.3%	6.3%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
3	11.8%	7.2%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	10.2%	6.2%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 3-0

FC Nordsjaelland winDrawCSKA Sofia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is a FC Nordsjaelland win at odds 1.40, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 80%. Goals lean over 2.5 (77%), both teams to score points no (56%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Nordsjaelland 80%Draw 14%CSKA Sofia 6%

80%14%

80%

FC Nordsjaelland Win

77%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

FC Nordsjaelland

FC Nordsjaelland come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Malmo FF.

DLyngby 3-3 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
DHeart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference
DFC Nordsjaelland 0-0 OdenseSuperliga
LMalmo FF 3-0 FC NordsjaellandFriendlies Clubs
LViborg 4-1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga

CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Arda Kardzhali. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Monaco.

WNesebar 0-2 CSKA SofiaCup
LCSKA Sofia 1-2 MonacoUEFA Europa Conference
WCSKA 1948 2-3 CSKA SofiaFirst League
WCSKA Sofia 4-1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
WLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Nordsjaelland at 80% to win and CSKA Sofia at 6%, with the draw at 14%. Our model makes a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Nordsjaelland Win	80%	68%	@ 1.40
Draw	14%	20%	@ 4.75
CSKA Sofia Win	6%	13%	@ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Nordsjaelland or Draw at 1.10 (93% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Nordsjaelland or Draw	93%	87%	@ 1.10
CSKA Sofia or Draw	20%	32%	@ 3.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.4-0.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 77% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	91%	83%	@ 1.14
Over 2.5	77%	61%	@ 1.53
Over 3.5	57%	42%	@ 2.20
Under 3.5	43%	58%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	23%	39%	@ 2.40
Under 1.5	9%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	56%	46%	@ 2.00
BTTS Yes	44%	54%	@ 1.73

📈 How the market moved

FC Nordsjaelland 67%Draw 20%CSKA Sofia 14%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

🔬 What our models say about this match

🔍 What our models say about this match

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	89%
GradientBoosting	Home	77%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 2.65 for the home side, 0.64 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 4-0 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?

Our model's pick is a FC Nordsjaelland win at odds 1.40, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?

Our model makes a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely result at 80%. It projects an expected 3.4-0.6 scoreline for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia.

What is the predicted score for FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 3.44 for FC Nordsjaelland and 0.61 for CSKA Sofia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia play?

Kick-off is Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.