FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 23 July 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Result: FK Liepaja 0-2 Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna finished 0-2. Austria Vienna won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, FK Liepaja Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.32, was void (stake returned).
FK Liepaja face Austria Vienna in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 23 July 2026, 15:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Austria Vienna won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Austria Vienna win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.6-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FK Liepaja Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 91% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Austria Vienna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (71%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between FK Liepaja and Austria Vienna. Wins shown from FK Liepaja’s perspective: Austria Vienna 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Austria Vienna | 3 – 1 | FK Liepaja | L |
| 2026-07-23 | FK Liepaja | 0 – 2 | Austria Vienna | L |
📈 Recent form
FK Liepaja come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Riga. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Auda.
- DFK Liepaja 0-0 BFC DaugavpilsVirsliga
- DOgre United 2-2 FK LiepajaVirsliga
- DRīgas FS 0-0 FK LiepajaVirsliga
- WFK Liepaja 3-2 RigaVirsliga
- LAuda 1-0 FK LiepajaVirsliga
Austria Vienna come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Traiskirchen. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Red Bull Salzburg.
- DGrazer AK 2-2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- WAustria Vienna 2-1 Austria LustenauBundesliga
- WTraiskirchen 0-6 Austria ViennaCup
- LRed Bull Salzburg 4-1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- DAustria Vienna 0-0 SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FK Liepaja at 34% to win and Austria Vienna at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Austria Vienna win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna Win | 38% | 67% | @ 1.37 |
| FK Liepaja Win | 34% | 12% | @ 7.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 20% | @ 4.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FK Liepaja or Draw at 2.75 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Liepaja or Draw | 68% | 33% | @ 2.75 |
| Austria Vienna or Draw | 56% | 88% | @ 1.06 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 74% | @ 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 52% | @ 1.75 |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 32% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 3.5 | 47% | 68% | @ 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 48% | @ 1.92 |
| Under 1.5 | 11% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 71%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 71% | 45% | @ 2.02 |
| BTTS No | 29% | 55% | @ 1.67 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FK Liepaja or Austria Vienna is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Liepaja +2 | 90% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| FK Liepaja +1.75 | 88% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
| FK Liepaja +1.5 | 86% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| FK Liepaja +1.25 | 81% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| FK Liepaja +1 | 77% | 42% | @ 2.22 |
| FK Liepaja +0.75 | 72% | 36% | @ 2.61 |
| FK Liepaja +0.5 | 68% | 32% | @ 2.94 |
| FK Liepaja +0.25 | 62% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
| Austria Vienna +0.5 | 56% | 84% | 1.12 |
| FK Liepaja 0 | 56% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Austria Vienna +0.25 | 50% | 83% | 1.14 |
| FK Liepaja -0.25 | 50% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Austria Vienna 0 | 44% | 82% | 1.16 |
| FK Liepaja -0.5 | 44% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Austria Vienna -0.25 | 38% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Austria Vienna -0.5 | 32% | 68% | 1.36 |
| Austria Vienna -0.75 | 28% | 64% | 1.46 |
| Austria Vienna -1 | 23% | 58% | 1.61 |
| Austria Vienna -1.25 | 19% | 49% | 1.93 |
| Austria Vienna -1.5 | 14% | 44% | 2.10 |
| Austria Vienna -1.75 | 12% | 37% | 2.50 |
| Austria Vienna -2 | 10% | 29% | 3.15 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
Our model's main pick is FK Liepaja Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 91% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
Our model makes an Austria Vienna win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.6-2.2 scoreline for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.62 for FK Liepaja and 2.18 for Austria Vienna. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FK Liepaja and Austria Vienna play?
Kick-off is Thursday 23 July 2026, 15:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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