⚽ Brazilian Série A
Fluminense vs RB Bragantino Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fluminense vs RB Bragantino in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Friday 17 July 2026, 23:00 UTC.
Result: Fluminense 1-1 RB Bragantino
Fluminense vs RB Bragantino finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, RB Bragantino Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at 1.35, landed.
Fluminense face RB Bragantino in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Friday 17 July 2026, 23:00 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 2, RB Bragantino won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fluminense win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.2-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fluminense vs RB Bragantino with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Fluminense vs RB Bragantino comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is RB Bragantino Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.35, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fluminense win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (50%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Fluminense and RB Bragantino. Wins shown from Fluminense’s perspective: Fluminense 2 · 2 drawn · RB Bragantino 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Fluminense | 1 – 1 | RB Bragantino | D |
| 2024-07-28 | RB Bragantino | 0 – 1 | Fluminense | W |
| 2024-04-14 | Fluminense | 2 – 2 | RB Bragantino | D |
| 2023-10-22 | RB Bragantino | 1 – 0 | Fluminense | L |
| 2023-06-04 | Fluminense | 2 – 1 | RB Bragantino | W |
📈 Recent form
Fluminense come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Corinthians. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Platense.
- WCorinthians 1-3 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
- LPlatense 2-1 FluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores
- LAtlético Mineiro 3-1 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
- WFluminense 2-0 PlatenseCONMEBOL Libertadores
- WFluminense 1-0 Vasco da GamaBrazilian Série A
RB Bragantino come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Grêmio. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Flamengo.
- LFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- DBotafogo 1-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- LRB Bragantino 2-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
- LSão Paulo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
- WRB Bragantino 1-0 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Matheus ReisKnee Injury
- Vitor EudesNot in squad
- Davi GomesKnee Injury
- FabricioAnkle Injury
- GabrielRest
- VanderlanKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Fluminense at 37% to win and RB Bragantino at 36%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Fluminense win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense Win | 37% | 49% | @ 1.93 |
| RB Bragantino Win | 36% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fluminense or Draw at 1.23 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense or Draw | 66% | 77% | @ 1.23 |
| RB Bragantino or Draw | 59% | 51% | @ 1.82 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 55% | @ 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 29% | @ 3.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 50% | 50% | @ 1.84 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 50% | @ 1.85 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Fluminense or RB Bragantino is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino +2 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| RB Bragantino +1.75 | 83% | 79% | 1.19 |
| RB Bragantino +1.5 | 80% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| RB Bragantino +1.25 | 75% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Fluminense +0.75 | 71% | 82% | 1.16 |
| RB Bragantino +1 | 70% | 66% | 1.44 |
| Fluminense +0.5 | 66% | 77% | 1.25 |
| RB Bragantino +0.75 | 64% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Fluminense +0.25 | 60% | 73% | 1.30 |
| RB Bragantino +0.5 | 59% | 51% | @ 1.87 |
| Fluminense 0 | 54% | 68% | 1.39 |
| RB Bragantino +0.25 | 52% | 43% | @ 2.24 |
| Fluminense -0.25 | 48% | 57% | 1.67 |
| RB Bragantino 0 | 46% | 32% | @ 2.94 |
| Fluminense -0.5 | 41% | 49% | 1.92 |
| RB Bragantino -0.25 | 40% | 27% | @ 3.56 |
| Fluminense -0.75 | 36% | 43% | 2.23 |
| RB Bragantino -0.5 | 34% | 23% | @ 4.08 |
| Fluminense -1 | 30% | 34% | 2.81 |
| RB Bragantino -0.75 | 29% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Fluminense -1.25 | 25% | 30% | 3.19 |
| Fluminense -1.5 | 20% | 26% | 3.63 |
| Fluminense -1.75 | 17% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Fluminense -2 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs RB Bragantino?
Our model's main pick is RB Bragantino Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.35, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Fluminense vs RB Bragantino?
Our model makes a Fluminense win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline for Fluminense vs RB Bragantino.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs RB Bragantino?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.24 for Fluminense and 1.28 for RB Bragantino. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Fluminense and RB Bragantino play?
Kick-off is Friday 17 July 2026, 23:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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