⚽ Serie A
Frosinone vs Venezia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Frosinone vs Venezia in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Result: Frosinone 3-2 Venezia
Frosinone vs Venezia finished 3-2. Frosinone won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Frosinone face Venezia in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Frosinone win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 2.1-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Frosinone vs Venezia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 10.9% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Frosinone vs Venezia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Frosinone win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (50%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Frosinone come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Fiorentina. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
- DGenoa 1-1 FrosinoneSerie A
- WFrosinone 3-2 VeneziaSerie A
- DSassuolo 1-1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
- WFiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneSerie A
Venezia come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Lazio.
- LVenezia 0-2 LazioSerie A
- LVenezia 2-4 FiorentinaSerie A
- LFrosinone 3-2 VeneziaSerie A
- LUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
- LAC Milan 2-0 VeneziaSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
No absentees reported.
- A. AdoranteHernia
- T. BasicFoot Injury
- B. FranjicInjury
- M. SverkoHip Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Frosinone at 46% to win and Venezia at 28%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Frosinone win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Win | 46% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
| Venezia Win | 28% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Frosinone or Draw at 1.50 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone or Draw | 72% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Venezia or Draw | 54% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 74% | @ 1.26 |
| Under 3.5 | 64% | 70% | @ 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 50% | @ 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 50% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 30% | @ 3.05 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 44% | @ 2.12 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Frosinone or Venezia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone +1.75 | 91% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| Frosinone +1.5 | 89% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Frosinone +1.25 | 85% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| Venezia +1.75 | 80% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Frosinone +1 | 80% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Venezia +1.5 | 77% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Frosinone +0.75 | 76% | 69% | @ 1.39 |
| Frosinone +0.5 | 72% | 62% | @ 1.54 |
| Venezia +1.25 | 71% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Venezia +1 | 65% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Frosinone +0.25 | 65% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Venezia +0.75 | 60% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Frosinone 0 | 59% | 48% | @ 2.01 |
| Venezia +0.5 | 54% | 65% | 1.48 |
| Frosinone -0.25 | 52% | 41% | @ 2.34 |
| Venezia +0.25 | 48% | 59% | 1.62 |
| Frosinone -0.5 | 46% | 35% | @ 2.71 |
| Venezia 0 | 41% | 52% | 1.87 |
| Frosinone -0.75 | 40% | 29% | @ 3.33 |
| Frosinone -1 | 35% | 21% | @ 4.56 |
| Venezia -0.25 | 35% | 44% | 2.19 |
| Frosinone -1.25 | 29% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| Venezia -0.5 | 28% | 38% | 2.50 |
| Venezia -0.75 | 24% | 31% | 3.06 |
| Frosinone -1.5 | 23% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Frosinone -1.75 | 20% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Venezia -1 | 20% | 23% | 4.13 |
| Venezia -1.25 | 15% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Venezia -1.5 | 11% | 20% | 4.80 |
| Venezia -1.75 | 9% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Frosinone vs Venezia?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs Venezia?
Our model makes a Frosinone win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 2.1-0.9 scoreline for Frosinone vs Venezia.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Venezia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.13 for Frosinone and 0.91 for Venezia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Frosinone and Venezia play?
Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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