⚽ Serie A

Frosinone vs Venezia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Frosinone vs Venezia in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Frosinone face Venezia in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Frosinone win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Frosinone vs Venezia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.26

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.73 – 1.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	6.5%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%
1	10.3%	11.2%	6.1%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.9%	9.7%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.1%	5.6%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.2%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Frosinone winDrawVenezia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Frosinone vs Venezia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Frosinone win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (54%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Frosinone or Draw at odds 1.50 (+2.1% model value).

Best value

Frosinone or Draw at odds 1.50, 68% model probability, +2.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Frosinone 41%Draw 28%Venezia 31%

41%28%31%

41%

Frosinone Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

+2.1%

Best value: Frosinone or Draw

📈 Recent form

Frosinone

Frosinone come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Juventus.

DSassuolo 1-1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
WFiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneSerie A
LFrosinone 0-1 JuventusSerie A
WFrosinone 4-1 Juve StabiaCoppa Italia
LFrosinone 1-2 LazioFriendlies Clubs

Venezia

Venezia come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Modena. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Udinese.

LUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
LAC Milan 2-0 VeneziaSerie A
LVenezia 0-2 LecceSerie A
WVenezia 3-2 ModenaCoppa Italia
DStade Brestois 29 2-2 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Frosinone

F. GhedjemisCalf Injury

Venezia

A. AdoranteHernia
T. BasicFoot Injury
B. FranjicInjury
M. SverkoHip Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Frosinone at 41% to win and Venezia at 31%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Frosinone win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Frosinone Win	41%	@ 2.70	+10.5%
Draw	28%	@ 3.35	-5.6%
Venezia Win	31%	@ 2.48	-23.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Frosinone or Draw at 1.50 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Frosinone or Draw	68%	@ 1.50	+2.1%
Venezia or Draw	58%	@ 1.44	-16.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.88	+0.6%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.26	-2.7%
Over 3.5	31%	@ 3.05	-4.7%
Under 3.5	69%	@ 1.32	-9.3%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 1.91	-11.2%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 3.65	-16.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	46%	@ 2.12	-3.4%
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.67	-9.1%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	52%
Dixon-Coles	Home	53%
GradientBoosting	Away	36%

Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.

Expected goals: 1.41 for the home side, 1.19 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Frosinone vs Venezia?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Frosinone or Draw at 1.50 (+2.1% value).

Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs Venezia?

Our model makes a Frosinone win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Frosinone vs Venezia.

What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Venezia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Frosinone and 1.09 for Venezia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Frosinone and Venezia play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.