Sat 12 Sep1-3Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt

FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt finished 1-3. Eintracht Frankfurt won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw at 1.73, landed.

FSV Mainz 05 face Eintracht Frankfurt in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 have 3 wins from their last 5, while Eintracht Frankfurt have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 2, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FSV Mainz 05 win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.6-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Eintracht Frankfurt +1.5 @ 1.33

82%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.53 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	6.6%	5.0%	2.6%	1.0%
1	6.9%	10.6%	8.1%	4.1%	1.6%
2	5.6%	8.6%	6.6%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.0%	4.6%	3.6%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.2%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

FSV Mainz 05 winDrawEintracht Frankfurt win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Eintracht Frankfurt with a +1.5 start at odds 1.33, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FSV Mainz 05 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

FSV Mainz 05 39%Draw 28%Eintracht Frankfurt 33%

39%28%33%

39%

FSV Mainz 05 Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt. Wins shown from FSV Mainz 05’s perspective: FSV Mainz 05 2 · 1 drawn · Eintracht Frankfurt 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	FSV Mainz 05	1 – 3	Eintracht Frankfurt	L
2026-03-22	FSV Mainz 05	2 – 1	Eintracht Frankfurt	W
2025-11-09	Eintracht Frankfurt	1 – 0	FSV Mainz 05	L
2025-05-04	FSV Mainz 05	1 – 1	Eintracht Frankfurt	D
2024-12-21	Eintracht Frankfurt	1 – 3	FSV Mainz 05	W

📈 Recent form

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 9-0 at Krieschow. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at home to Eintracht Frankfurt.

WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
LFSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
WHamburger SV 0-5 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
DFSV Mainz 05 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
WKrieschow 0-9 FSV Mainz 05DFB Pokal

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 11-0 at SC St. Tönis. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at home to FC Augsburg.

DEintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
WFSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
LEintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC AugsburgBundesliga
DUnion Berlin 3-3 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
WSC St. Tönis 0-11 Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FSV Mainz 05

D. KohrFoot Injury
E. MartelKnee Injury
P. NebelMuscle Injury
SilasBroken shinbone
S. WidmerKnee Injury

Eintracht Frankfurt

F. ChaibiIllness
A. KnauffMuscle Injury
J. NgankamInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FSV Mainz 05 at 39% to win and Eintracht Frankfurt at 33%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a FSV Mainz 05 win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FSV Mainz 05 Win	39%	49%	@ 1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt Win	33%	27%	@ 3.50
Draw	28%	24%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FSV Mainz 05 or Draw at 1.33 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FSV Mainz 05 or Draw	66%	73%	@ 1.33
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw	61%	51%	@ 1.80

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	83%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	61%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 2.5	61%	64%	@ 1.50
Under 2.5	39%	36%	@ 2.62
Over 3.5	39%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	18%	17%	@ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	37%	35%	@ 2.62

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FSV Mainz 05 or Eintracht Frankfurt is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FSV Mainz 05 +1.75	88%	86%	1.10
Eintracht Frankfurt +2	88%	83%	1.14
FSV Mainz 05 +1.5	85%	86%	1.10
Eintracht Frankfurt +1.75	85%	76%	@ 1.23
Eintracht Frankfurt +1.5	82%	71%	@ 1.33
FSV Mainz 05 +1.25	80%	85%	1.12
Eintracht Frankfurt +1.25	76%	68%	@ 1.40
FSV Mainz 05 +1	76%	84%	1.13
Eintracht Frankfurt +1	71%	64%	@ 1.50
FSV Mainz 05 +0.75	71%	77%	1.25
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.75	66%	57%	@ 1.69
FSV Mainz 05 +0.5	66%	72%	1.32
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.5	61%	51%	@ 1.90
FSV Mainz 05 +0.25	59%	69%	1.39
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.25	54%	44%	@ 2.17
FSV Mainz 05 0	53%	64%	1.49
Eintracht Frankfurt 0	47%	36%	@ 2.69
FSV Mainz 05 -0.25	46%	56%	1.71
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.25	41%	31%	@ 3.08
FSV Mainz 05 -0.5	40%	49%	1.98
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5	34%	28%	@ 3.44
FSV Mainz 05 -0.75	34%	43%	2.21
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.75	29%	23%	@ 4.11
FSV Mainz 05 -1	29%	36%	2.64
Eintracht Frankfurt -1	24%	16%	@ 5.90
FSV Mainz 05 -1.25	23%	32%	3.02
Eintracht Frankfurt -1.25	20%	15%	@ 6.40
FSV Mainz 05 -1.5	18%	29%	3.34
FSV Mainz 05 -1.75	15%	24%	4.00
Eintracht Frankfurt -1.5	15%	14%	6.80
FSV Mainz 05 -2	12%	17%	5.75
Eintracht Frankfurt -1.75	12%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

FSV Mainz 05 49%Draw 24%Eintracht Frankfurt 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Our model's main pick is Eintracht Frankfurt with a +1.5 start at odds 1.33, with a 82% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Our model makes a FSV Mainz 05 win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt.

What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.53 for Eintracht Frankfurt. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.