Sun 13 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Genk vs Gent Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Genk vs Gent in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Genk 1-1 Gent

Genk vs Gent finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.41, landed.

Genk face Gent in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Genk have 2 wins from their last 5, while Gent have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Genk won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Genk win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.4-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Genk vs Gent with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.41

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.42 – 0.94 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	8.9%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
1	13.4%	12.6%	5.9%	1.9%	0.4%
2	9.5%	8.9%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
3	4.5%	4.2%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Genk winDrawGent win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Genk vs Gent comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Genk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Genk 48%Draw 28%Gent 25%

48%28%25%

48%

Genk Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Genk and Gent. Wins shown from Genk’s perspective: Genk 2 · 3 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-13	Genk	1 – 1	Gent	D
2026-05-31	Gent	0 – 0	Genk	D
2025-05-18	Gent	1 – 4	Genk	W
2025-03-30	Genk	4 – 0	Gent	W
2025-02-23	Genk	0 – 0	Gent	D

📈 Recent form

Genk

Genk come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to SK Beveren. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Club Brugge KV.

LClub Brugge KV 3-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
DGenk 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League
DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
WGenk 4-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League

Gent

Gent come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cercle Brugge. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WGent 2-1 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
DGenk 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League
WCercle Brugge 0-3 GentJupiler Pro League
WGent 1-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
WGent 2-1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Genk at 48% to win and Gent at 25%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Genk win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk Win	48%	48%	@ 1.92
Draw	28%	27%	@ 3.40
Gent Win	25%	25%	@ 3.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Genk or Draw at 1.25 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk or Draw	74%	75%	@ 1.25
Gent or Draw	51%	52%	@ 1.84

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	67%	@ 1.41
Over 1.5	68%	78%	@ 1.21
Under 2.5	58%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 2.5	42%	55%	@ 1.70
Under 1.5	32%	22%	@ 4.25
Over 3.5	21%	33%	@ 2.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	42%	@ 2.18
BTTS Yes	46%	58%	@ 1.60

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Genk or Gent is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk +1.25	86%	86%	1.10
Gent +2	82%	86%	1.10
Genk +1	82%	85%	1.12
Gent +1.75	78%	79%	1.19
Genk +0.75	78%	77%	1.22
Gent +1.5	75%	74%	1.28
Genk +0.5	74%	–	1.29
Gent +1.25	69%	71%	1.33
Genk +0.25	68%	–	1.37
Gent +1	63%	67%	1.42
Genk 0	62%	65%	1.48
Gent +0.75	57%	59%	1.62
Genk -0.25	55%	55%	1.75
Gent +0.5	51%	53%	1.82
Genk -0.5	49%	47%	2.02
Gent +0.25	45%	45%	2.12
Genk -0.75	43%	41%	2.33
Gent 0	38%	35%	@ 2.69
Genk -1	37%	33%	@ 2.90
Genk -1.25	31%	29%	@ 3.31
Genk -1.5	25%	26%	3.63
Gent -0.75	22%	23%	4.15
Genk -1.75	22%	21%	4.50
Genk -2	18%	14%	@ 6.80
Gent -1	18%	15%	@ 6.25
Gent -1.25	14%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Genk 47%Draw 27%Gent 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genk vs Gent?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.41, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

Who is the favourite for Genk vs Gent?

Our model makes a Genk win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.4-0.9 scoreline for Genk vs Gent.

What is the predicted score for Genk vs Gent?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.42 for Genk and 0.94 for Gent. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Genk and Gent play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.