⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Genk vs Gent Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Genk vs Gent in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Genk face Gent in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Genk have 2 wins from their last 5, while Gent have 5 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Genk won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Genk win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Genk vs Gent with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.41

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.43 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	8.8%	4.2%	1.4%	0.3%
1	13.1%	12.6%	6.0%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.4%	9.0%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.5%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Genk winDrawGent win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Genk vs Gent is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.41, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a Genk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.10 (+20.2% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 2.10, 57% model probability, +20.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Genk 47%Draw 28%Gent 25%

47%28%25%

47%

Genk Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

+20.2%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Genk and Gent. Wins shown from Genk’s perspective: Genk 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-31	Gent	0 – 0	Genk	D
2025-05-18	Gent	1 – 4	Genk	W
2025-03-30	Genk	4 – 0	Gent	W
2025-02-23	Genk	0 – 0	Gent	D
2024-10-27	Gent	0 – 2	Genk	W

📈 Recent form

Genk

Genk come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to SK Beveren. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Zulte Waregem.

DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
WGenk 4-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League
WGenk 3-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
LZulte Waregem 2-1 GenkJupiler Pro League

Gent

Gent come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cercle Brugge.

WCercle Brugge 0-3 GentJupiler Pro League
WGent 1-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
WGent 2-1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
WHibernian 2-3 GentUEFA Europa Conference
DGent 0-0 HibernianUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Genk at 47% to win and Gent at 25%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Genk win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	28%	@ 3.40	-4.7%
Gent Win	25%	@ 3.75	-7.8%
Genk Win	47%	@ 1.92	-9.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gent or Draw at 1.84 (51% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Gent or Draw	51%	@ 1.84	-5.7%
Genk or Draw	74%	@ 1.25	-7.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	31%	@ 4.25	+32.0%
Under 2.5	57%	@ 2.10	+20.2%
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.41	+10.1%
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.21	-16.6%
Over 2.5	43%	@ 1.70	-27.3%
Over 3.5	22%	@ 2.80	-38.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	53%	@ 2.18	+14.9%
BTTS Yes	47%	@ 1.60	-24.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genk vs Gent?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.41, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.10 (+20.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Genk vs Gent?

Our model makes a Genk win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Genk vs Gent.

What is the predicted score for Genk vs Gent?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.43 for Genk and 0.96 for Gent. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Genk and Gent play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.