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⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Genk vs Standard Liège Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Genk vs Standard Liège in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Genk face Standard Liège in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Genk have 2 wins from their last 5, while Standard Liège have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Genk won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Genk win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.7-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Genk vs Standard Liège with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.53

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.74 – 1.00 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	6.5%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
1	11.2%	11.2%	5.6%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.8%	9.8%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	5.7%	5.7%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.5%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Genk winDrawStandard Liège win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Genk vs Standard Liège comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Genk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Genk 54%Draw 24%Standard Liège 21%

54%24%21%

54%

Genk Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Genk and Standard Liège. Wins shown from Genk’s perspective: Genk 2 · 3 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-16	Standard Liège	0 – 0	Genk	D
2026-04-25	Genk	1 – 1	Standard Liège	D
2025-02-14	Standard Liège	1 – 2	Genk	W
2024-07-28	Genk	0 – 0	Standard Liège	D
2024-03-10	Genk	1 – 0	Standard Liège	W

📈 Recent form

Genk

Genk come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Kortrijk. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Fortuna Sittard.

WExcelsior Virton 0-2 GenkCup
WGenk 3-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
LGenk 1-2 Fortuna SittardFriendlies Clubs
LClub Brugge KV 3-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
DGenk 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League

Standard Liège

Standard Liège come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dender. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Charleroi.

WStandard Liège 2-0 DenderCup
LStandard Liège 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
LGent 2-1 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
LKVC Westerlo 4-2 Standard LiègeJupiler Pro League
WStandard Liège 1-0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Genk at 54% to win and Standard Liège at 21%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Genk win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk Win	54%	55%	@ 1.67
Draw	24%	24%	@ 3.80
Standard Liège Win	21%	21%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Genk or Draw at 1.20 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Genk or Draw	78%	79%	@ 1.20
Standard Liège or Draw	46%	45%	@ 2.15

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	70%	61%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	52%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 2.5	48%	40%	@ 2.35
Over 3.5	30%	39%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	24%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	48%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Genk 55%Draw 25%Standard Liège 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genk vs Standard Liège?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

Who is the favourite for Genk vs Standard Liège?

Our model makes a Genk win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.0 scoreline for Genk vs Standard Liège.

What is the predicted score for Genk vs Standard Liège?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Genk and 1.00 for Standard Liège. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Genk and Standard Liège play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.