Fri 4 Sep1-4Finished

⚽ Serie A

Genoa vs Como Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Genoa vs Como in the Serie A. Kick-off Friday 04 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Genoa 1-4 Como

Genoa vs Como finished 1-4. Como won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Genoa face Como in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Friday 04 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Genoa have no wins from their last 5, while Como have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Como won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Como win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 0.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Genoa vs Como with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.38

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.94 – 1.59 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	12.7%	10.1%	5.3%	2.1%
1	7.5%	11.9%	9.5%	5.0%	2.0%
2	3.5%	5.6%	4.4%	2.4%	0.9%
3	1.1%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Genoa winDrawComo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Genoa vs Como comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Como win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Genoa 19%Draw 28%Como 53%

19%28%53%

53%

Como Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Genoa and Como. Wins shown from Genoa’s perspective: 2 drawn · Como 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-04	Genoa	1 – 4	Como	L
2026-04-26	Genoa	0 – 2	Como	L
2025-09-15	Como	1 – 1	Genoa	D
2025-04-27	Como	1 – 0	Genoa	L
2024-11-07	Genoa	1 – 1	Como	D

📈 Recent form

Genoa

Genoa come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Sudtirol. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Parma.

LParma 2-1 GenoaSerie A
WGenoa 1-0 SudtirolCoppa Italia
DGenoa 1-1 FrosinoneSerie A
LGenoa 1-4 ComoSerie A
LLazio 1-0 GenoaSerie A

Como

Como come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to RB Leipzig. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Frosinone.

LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
WComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
WComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
WGenoa 1-4 ComoSerie A
WNapoli 1-2 ComoSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Genoa

C. DramehNot in squad
E. HavelAnkle Injury
L. VenturinoKnee Injury

Como

J. AddaiAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Genoa at 19% to win and Como at 53%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Como win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como Win	53%	52%	@ 1.80
Draw	28%	30%	@ 3.15
Genoa Win	19%	19%	@ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.16 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como or Draw	79%	81%	@ 1.16
Genoa or Draw	45%	48%	@ 1.96

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	78%	@ 1.21
Over 1.5	72%	68%	@ 1.38
Under 2.5	54%	58%	@ 1.61
Over 2.5	46%	42%	@ 2.25
Under 1.5	28%	32%	@ 2.95
Over 3.5	25%	22%	@ 4.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	54%	@ 1.74
BTTS Yes	48%	46%	@ 2.02

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Genoa or Como is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como +0.75	82%	86%	1.11
Como +0.5	79%	–	1.18
Genoa +2	78%	84%	1.12
Genoa +1.75	74%	77%	1.24
Como +0.25	73%	–	1.22
Genoa +1.5	69%	71%	1.33
Como 0	67%	–	1.29
Genoa +1.25	63%	68%	1.41
Como -0.25	61%	62%	1.54
Genoa +1	57%	62%	1.52
Como -0.5	55%	53%	1.80
Genoa +0.75	51%	54%	1.79
Como -0.75	49%	46%	@ 2.06
Genoa +0.5	45%	47%	2.02
Como -1	43%	38%	@ 2.50
Genoa +0.25	39%	38%	2.50
Como -1.25	37%	32%	@ 2.95
Como -1.5	31%	29%	@ 3.32
Como -1.75	26%	23%	@ 4.22
Como -2	22%	16%	@ 6.00
Genoa -0.75	18%	14%	@ 6.60

📈 How the market moved

Genoa 19%Draw 29%Como 52%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genoa vs Como?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

Who is the favourite for Genoa vs Como?

Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.6 scoreline for Genoa vs Como.

What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Como?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.94 for Genoa and 1.59 for Como. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Genoa and Como play?

Kick-off is Friday 04 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.