⚽ La Liga
Getafe vs Celta Vigo Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Getafe vs Celta Vigo in the La Liga. Kick-off Monday 07 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: Getafe 1-1 Celta Vigo
Getafe vs Celta Vigo finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Getafe face Celta Vigo in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Monday 07 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. Recent form: Getafe have 1 win from their last 3, while Celta Vigo have no wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Getafe won 1, Celta Vigo won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Getafe win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.0-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Getafe vs Celta Vigo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.4% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Getafe vs Celta Vigo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Celta Vigo with a +0.75 start at odds 1.38, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Getafe win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points no (58%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Getafe and Celta Vigo. Wins shown from Getafe’s perspective: Getafe 1 · 2 drawn · Celta Vigo 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Getafe | 1 – 1 | Celta Vigo | D |
| 2026-02-01 | Getafe | 0 – 0 | Celta Vigo | D |
| 2025-08-17 | Celta Vigo | 0 – 2 | Getafe | W |
| 2025-05-24 | Getafe | 1 – 2 | Celta Vigo | L |
| 2024-11-04 | Celta Vigo | 1 – 0 | Getafe | L |
📈 Recent form
Getafe come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Málaga. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Real Betis.
- WGetafe 1-0 MálagaLa Liga
- LReal Betis 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- LOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
Celta Vigo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Racing Santander. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Omonia Nicosia.
- WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
- LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
- DCelta Vigo 1-1 MálagaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta VigoLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. AbqarMuscle Injury
- FranchoInjury
- JuanmiInjury
- C. UcheKnee Injury
- A. FebasRibs Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Getafe at 35% to win and Celta Vigo at 34%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Getafe win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe Win | 35% | 39% | @ 2.43 |
| Celta Vigo Win | 34% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Getafe or Draw at 1.30 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe or Draw | 64% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Celta Vigo or Draw | 63% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 84% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 67% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 38% | 42% | @ 2.28 |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 33% | @ 2.90 |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 58% | 58% | @ 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 42% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Getafe or Celta Vigo is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe +1.5 | 84% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Celta Vigo +1.5 | 83% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Getafe +1.25 | 79% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Celta Vigo +1.25 | 78% | 82% | 1.17 |
| Getafe +1 | 74% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Celta Vigo +1 | 73% | – | 1.21 |
| Getafe +0.75 | 69% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Celta Vigo +0.75 | 68% | 69% | 1.38 |
| Getafe +0.5 | 64% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Celta Vigo +0.5 | 63% | 61% | 1.55 |
| Getafe +0.25 | 57% | 66% | 1.45 |
| Celta Vigo +0.25 | 56% | 54% | @ 1.78 |
| Getafe 0 | 50% | 57% | 1.67 |
| Celta Vigo 0 | 50% | 43% | @ 2.23 |
| Getafe -0.25 | 44% | 46% | 2.12 |
| Celta Vigo -0.25 | 43% | 34% | @ 2.79 |
| Getafe -0.5 | 37% | 39% | 2.46 |
| Celta Vigo -0.5 | 36% | 29% | @ 3.34 |
| Getafe -0.75 | 32% | 31% | @ 3.12 |
| Celta Vigo -0.75 | 31% | 22% | @ 4.38 |
| Celta Vigo -1 | 26% | 14% | @ 7.04 |
| Getafe -1.25 | 22% | 18% | @ 5.40 |
| Celta Vigo -1.25 | 21% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Getafe -1.5 | 17% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Celta Vigo -1.5 | 16% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Getafe vs Celta Vigo?
Our model's main pick is Celta Vigo with a +0.75 start at odds 1.38, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.
Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Celta Vigo?
Our model makes a Getafe win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.1 scoreline for Getafe vs Celta Vigo.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Celta Vigo?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.02 for Getafe and 1.07 for Celta Vigo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Getafe and Celta Vigo play?
Kick-off is Monday 07 September 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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