⚽ La Liga
Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Result: Getafe 1-1 Deportivo La Coruña
Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Deportivo La Coruña or Draw at 1.62, landed.
Getafe face Deportivo La Coruña in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Getafe have 1 win from their last 4, while Deportivo La Coruña have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.9% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Deportivo La Coruña with a +0.75 start at odds 1.40, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (55%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Getafe come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Málaga. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Real Betis.
- WGetafe 1-0 MálagaLa Liga
- LReal Betis 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
- LOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
Deportivo La Coruña come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Valencia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Sevilla.
- DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
- LDeportivo La Coruña 0-1 SevillaLa Liga
- DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
- WVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
- WDeportivo La Coruña 3-1 ValenciaLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. AbqarMuscle Injury
- A. GarciaInjury
- JuanmiInjury
- Kiko FemeniaHamstring Injury
- Z. RomeroSuspended (red card)
- C. UcheKnee Injury
- N. CarrilloAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Getafe at 32% to win and Deportivo La Coruña at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña Win | 38% | 24% | @ 3.95 |
| Getafe Win | 32% | 44% | @ 2.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 33% | @ 2.88 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Deportivo La Coruña or Draw at 1.62 (66% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña or Draw | 66% | 56% | @ 1.62 |
| Getafe or Draw | 60% | 76% | @ 1.21 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 82% | 86% | @ 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 35% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 14% | @ 6.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 55% | 61% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 45% | 39% | @ 2.35 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Getafe or Deportivo La Coruña is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña +1.75 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +1.5 | 85% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +1.25 | 80% | 81% | 1.18 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +1 | 76% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Getafe +1 | 71% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +0.75 | 71% | 69% | 1.40 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +0.5 | 66% | 61% | @ 1.57 |
| Getafe +0.75 | 66% | – | 1.21 |
| Getafe +0.5 | 60% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Deportivo La Coruña +0.25 | 59% | 53% | @ 1.83 |
| Getafe +0.25 | 54% | 67% | 1.43 |
| Deportivo La Coruña 0 | 53% | 41% | @ 2.31 |
| Getafe 0 | 47% | 59% | 1.63 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -0.25 | 46% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
| Getafe -0.25 | 41% | 47% | 2.04 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -0.5 | 40% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Getafe -0.5 | 34% | 39% | 2.42 |
| Getafe -0.75 | 29% | 31% | 3.04 |
| Deportivo La Coruña -1 | 29% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Getafe -1 | 24% | 22% | @ 4.39 |
| Getafe -1.25 | 20% | 19% | 5.08 |
| Getafe -1.5 | 15% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Getafe -1.75 | 12% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña?
Our model's main pick is Deportivo La Coruña with a +0.75 start at odds 1.40, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.
Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña?
Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruña win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruña?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Getafe and 1.07 for Deportivo La Coruña. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Getafe and Deportivo La Coruña play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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