GetafevsDeportivo La Coruna

⚽ La Liga

Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Getafe face Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Getafe have 1 win from their last 4, while Deportivo La Coruna have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.1-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Deportivo La Coruna or Draw @ 1.62
66%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 1.07 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 10.9% 11.6% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6%
1 12.5% 13.4% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7%
2 7.2% 7.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
3 2.8% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-1
Getafe winDrawDeportivo La Coruna win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Deportivo La Coruna or Draw at odds 1.62, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.65 (+7.3% model value).

Best value
Over 1.5 at odds 1.65, 65% model probability, +7.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Getafe 32%Draw 30%Deportivo La Coruna 38%
32%30%38%
38%
Deportivo La Coruna Win
62%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS no
+7.3%
Best value: Over 1.5

📈 Recent form

Getafe

Getafe come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to FK Partizan. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Osasuna.

  • DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
  • LOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
  • LFK Partizan 2-1 GetafeUEFA Europa Conference
  • WGetafe 1-0 Racing SantanderLa Liga
  • WGetafe 3-1 FK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference
Deportivo La Coruna

Deportivo La Coruna come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Valencia. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Real Madrid.

  • WVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • WDeportivo La Coruna 3-1 ValenciaLa Liga
  • DMalaga 1-1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • DDeportivo La Coruna 1-1 ElcheLa Liga
  • LDeportivo La Coruna 0-1 Real MadridFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Getafe
  • A. AbqarMuscle Injury
  • FranchoInjury
  • JuanmiInjury
  • Kiko FemeniaHamstring Injury
  • Z. RomeroSuspended (red card)
  • C. UcheKnee Injury
  • M. SatrianoInjury
Deportivo La Coruna
  • N. CarrilloInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Getafe at 32% to win and Deportivo La Coruna at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Deportivo La Coruna Win 38% @ 3.95 +48.4%
Draw 30% @ 2.88 -12.9%
Getafe Win 32% @ 2.16 -30.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Deportivo La Coruna or Draw at 1.62 (66% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Deportivo La Coruna or Draw 66% @ 1.62 +6.7%
Getafe or Draw 60% @ 1.21 -26.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 3.5 18% @ 6.50 +20.0%
Over 2.5 38% @ 3.10 +18.6%
Over 1.5 65% @ 1.65 +7.3%
Under 3.5 82% @ 1.09 -11.1%
Under 2.5 62% @ 1.35 -16.7%
Under 1.5 35% @ 2.18 -23.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 55%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS Yes 45% @ 2.35 +5.5%
BTTS No 55% @ 1.50 -17.4%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Our main pick is Deportivo La Coruna or Draw at odds 1.62, with 66% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 1.5 goals at 1.65 (+7.3% value).

Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Our model makes a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.1 scoreline for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna.

What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Getafe and 1.07 for Deportivo La Coruna. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.