⚽ Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Result: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Groningen
Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.41, landed.
Go Ahead Eagles face Groningen in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. Recent form: Go Ahead Eagles have 2 wins from their last 4, while Groningen have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Go Ahead Eagles won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 2.0-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Go Ahead Eagles with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points yes (64%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Go Ahead Eagles and Groningen. Wins shown from Go Ahead Eagles’s perspective: Go Ahead Eagles 2 · 3 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 – 1 | Groningen | D |
| 2026-04-11 | Groningen | 0 – 0 | Go Ahead Eagles | D |
| 2025-12-21 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 – 1 | Groningen | D |
| 2025-01-18 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 – 1 | Groningen | W |
| 2024-09-29 | Groningen | 0 – 1 | Go Ahead Eagles | W |
📈 Recent form
Go Ahead Eagles come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to ADO Den Haag. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at AZ Alkmaar.
- DNEC Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenEredivisie
- DUtrecht 3-3 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- LAZ Alkmaar 5-2 Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- WGo Ahead Eagles 3-1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
Groningen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to PEC Zwolle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Fortuna Sittard.
- WGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
- DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenEredivisie
- DGroningen 2-2 TwenteEredivisie
- LGroningen 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- LPSV Eindhoven 5-1 GroningenEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- G. NauberBroken Leg
- P. SaathofKnee Injury
- N. BrandisNot in squad
- T. HernesInjury
- M. JengLeg Injury
- T. MerceraInjury
- R. MetuInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Go Ahead Eagles at 41% to win and Groningen at 26%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles Win | 41% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 33% | 24% | @ 3.80 |
| Groningen Win | 26% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.41 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles or Draw | 71% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
| Groningen or Draw | 55% | 58% | @ 1.63 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 65% | @ 1.45 |
| Under 3.5 | 57% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 35% | @ 2.65 |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 16% | @ 5.80 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 66% | @ 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 36% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Go Ahead Eagles or Groningen is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles +1.75 | 90% | 86% | @ 1.11 |
| Go Ahead Eagles +1.5 | 88% | 82% | @ 1.16 |
| Go Ahead Eagles +1.25 | 84% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Groningen +1.75 | 81% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Go Ahead Eagles +1 | 80% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Groningen +1.5 | 78% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Go Ahead Eagles +0.75 | 75% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Groningen +1.25 | 72% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Go Ahead Eagles +0.5 | 71% | 65% | @ 1.46 |
| Groningen +1 | 67% | 72% | 1.32 |
| Go Ahead Eagles +0.25 | 64% | 61% | @ 1.57 |
| Groningen +0.75 | 61% | 64% | 1.49 |
| Go Ahead Eagles 0 | 58% | 55% | @ 1.75 |
| Groningen +0.5 | 55% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Go Ahead Eagles -0.25 | 51% | 47% | @ 2.04 |
| Groningen +0.25 | 49% | 53% | 1.80 |
| Go Ahead Eagles -0.5 | 45% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| Groningen 0 | 42% | 45% | 2.10 |
| Go Ahead Eagles -0.75 | 39% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| Groningen -0.25 | 36% | 39% | 2.42 |
| Go Ahead Eagles -1 | 33% | 28% | @ 3.38 |
| Groningen -0.5 | 29% | 35% | 2.73 |
| Go Ahead Eagles -1.25 | 28% | 26% | @ 3.69 |
| Groningen -0.75 | 25% | 28% | 3.34 |
| Go Ahead Eagles -1.5 | 22% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Groningen -1 | 20% | 22% | 4.25 |
| Go Ahead Eagles -1.75 | 19% | 19% | 5.00 |
| Groningen -1.25 | 16% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Groningen -1.5 | 12% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Groningen -1.75 | 10% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?
Our model's main pick is Go Ahead Eagles with a +0.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?
Our model makes a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline for Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen.
What is the predicted score for Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.96 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.37 for Groningen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Go Ahead Eagles and Groningen play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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