Sun 6 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Groningen vs Twente Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Groningen vs Twente in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 10:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Groningen 2-2 Twente

Groningen vs Twente finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Groningen face Twente in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 10:15 UTC. Recent form: Groningen have 2 wins from their last 4, while Twente have 2 wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Twente won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Twente win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Groningen vs Twente with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Groningen +1.5 @ 1.29

77%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.38 – 1.48 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	8.5%	6.3%	3.1%	1.1%
1	7.9%	11.7%	8.7%	4.3%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.1%	6.0%	2.9%	1.1%
3	2.5%	3.7%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.9%	1.3%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Groningen winDrawTwente win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Groningen vs Twente comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Groningen with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Twente win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Groningen 28%Draw 27%Twente 45%

28%27%45%

45%

Twente Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Groningen and Twente. Wins shown from Groningen’s perspective: 3 drawn · Twente 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-06	Groningen	2 – 2	Twente	D
2026-02-22	Twente	2 – 1	Groningen	L
2025-11-02	Groningen	1 – 1	Twente	D
2025-03-01	Groningen	1 – 1	Twente	D
2024-12-15	Twente	2 – 0	Groningen	L

📈 Recent form

Groningen

Groningen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to PEC Zwolle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Fortuna Sittard.

WGroningen 3-0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 GroningenEredivisie
DGroningen 2-2 TwenteEredivisie
LGroningen 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LPSV Eindhoven 5-1 GroningenEredivisie

Twente

Twente come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Cambuur. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
WTwente 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
WTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
DGroningen 2-2 TwenteEredivisie
WCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Groningen

M. JengLeg Injury
T. MerceraInjury
R. MetuInjury
M. RenteInjury

Twente

K. HlynssonNot in squad
S. LemkinInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Groningen at 28% to win and Twente at 45%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Twente win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Twente Win	45%	47%	@ 2.00
Groningen Win	28%	27%	@ 3.40
Draw	27%	26%	@ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Twente or Draw at 1.30 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Twente or Draw	71%	73%	@ 1.30
Groningen or Draw	54%	53%	@ 1.78

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	82%	@ 1.15
Under 3.5	68%	61%	@ 1.55
Over 2.5	54%	61%	@ 1.55
Under 2.5	46%	39%	@ 2.40
Over 3.5	32%	39%	@ 2.43
Under 1.5	22%	18%	@ 5.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	63%	@ 1.47
BTTS No	42%	37%	@ 2.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Groningen or Twente is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Twente +1.5	89%	85%	1.12
Twente +1.25	84%	84%	1.13
Groningen +2	84%	85%	1.12
Groningen +1.75	81%	79%	1.20
Twente +1	80%	83%	1.15
Groningen +1.5	77%	73%	@ 1.29
Twente +0.75	76%	77%	1.25
Groningen +1.25	72%	71%	1.35
Twente +0.5	71%	70%	1.35
Groningen +1	66%	67%	1.43
Twente +0.25	65%	66%	1.44
Groningen +0.75	60%	60%	1.60
Twente 0	58%	61%	1.56
Groningen +0.5	54%	53%	1.79
Twente -0.25	52%	53%	1.82
Groningen +0.25	48%	47%	2.04
Twente -0.5	46%	47%	2.06
Groningen 0	42%	39%	@ 2.46
Twente -0.75	40%	40%	2.37
Groningen -0.25	35%	34%	2.85
Twente -1	34%	33%	2.87
Groningen -0.5	29%	30%	3.21
Twente -1.25	28%	29%	3.27
Groningen -0.75	24%	23%	4.05
Twente -1.5	23%	27%	3.50
Groningen -1	20%	17%	@ 5.50
Twente -1.75	19%	21%	4.40
Twente -2	16%	15%	@ 6.40
Groningen -1.25	16%	16%	5.90
Groningen -1.5	11%	15%	6.40

📈 How the market moved

Groningen 29%Draw 25%Twente 46%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Groningen vs Twente?

Our model's main pick is Groningen with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Groningen vs Twente?

Our model makes a Twente win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline for Groningen vs Twente.

What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Twente?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for Groningen and 1.48 for Twente. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Groningen and Twente play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 10:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.