Heart Of Midlothian vs St Johnstone Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Johnstone in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 St Johnstone

Heart Of Midlothian vs St Johnstone finished 2-1. Heart Of Midlothian won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Heart Of Midlothian face St Johnstone in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Johnstone with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.25

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.55 – 0.73 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.8%	2.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	9.6%	7.0%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%
2	12.2%	8.9%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
3	10.4%	7.6%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
4	6.6%	4.8%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Heart Of Midlothian winDrawSt Johnstone win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Johnstone comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 84% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (52%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

64%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Stenhousemuir. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Falkirk.

DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
LFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WStenhousemuir 0-3 Heart Of MidlothianLeague Cup
WHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
WHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership

St Johnstone

St Johnstone come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Hibernian. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Celtic.

DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
LSt Johnstone 0-1 CelticPremiership
WSt Johnstone 2-1 HibernianPremiership
DDundee 1-1 St JohnstonePremiership
LHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 St JohnstonePremiership

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at 1.18 (91% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw	91%	80%	@ 1.18
St Johnstone or Draw	24%	45%	@ 2.10

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	75%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	64%	51%	@ 1.83
Under 3.5	58%	70%	@ 1.34
Over 3.5	42%	30%	@ 3.10
Under 2.5	36%	49%	@ 1.92
Under 1.5	16%	25%	@ 3.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	48%	@ 1.93
BTTS Yes	48%	52%	@ 1.76

📈 How the market moved

Heart Of Midlothian 55%Draw 25%St Johnstone 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.55 for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.73 for St Johnstone. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Heart Of Midlothian and St Johnstone play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.