Sun 13 Sep0-0Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Telstar Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heerenveen vs Telstar in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Result: Heerenveen 0-0 Telstar

Heerenveen vs Telstar finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.60, landed.

Heerenveen face Telstar in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Heerenveen have 1 win from their last 5, while Telstar have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Heerenveen won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.7-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heerenveen vs Telstar with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Telstar +2 @ 1.27
81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.69 – 1.32 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.9% 6.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.3% 11.0% 7.3% 3.2% 1.1%
2 7.0% 9.3% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9%
3 4.0% 5.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
4 1.7% 2.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Heerenveen winDrawTelstar win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Telstar comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Telstar with a +2 start at odds 1.27, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Heerenveen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Heerenveen 51%Draw 24%Telstar 24%
51%24%24%
51%
Heerenveen Win
58%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Heerenveen and Telstar. Wins shown from Heerenveen’s perspective: Heerenveen 2 · 1 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-13 Heerenveen 0 – 0 Telstar D
2026-03-14 Heerenveen 3 – 0 Telstar W
2025-10-19 Telstar 2 – 3 Heerenveen W

📈 Recent form

Heerenveen

Heerenveen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Sparta Rotterdam. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to AZ Alkmaar.

  • WSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
  • DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
  • LHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
  • DWillem II 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
  • LHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
Telstar

Telstar come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar.

  • LAZ Alkmaar 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
  • DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
  • LTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
  • DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
  • LTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Heerenveen
  • M. EgbringInjury
  • M. HilgersKnee Injury
  • M. LindayNot in squad
  • D. ProperInjury
Telstar

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Heerenveen at 51% to win and Telstar at 24%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Heerenveen Win 51% 52% @ 1.79
Telstar Win 24% 24% @ 3.85
Draw 24% 24% @ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heerenveen or Draw at 1.24 (76% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Heerenveen or Draw 76% 76% @ 1.24
Telstar or Draw 49% 48% @ 1.97

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 80% 82% @ 1.14
Under 3.5 64% 59% @ 1.60
Over 2.5 58% 62% @ 1.52
Under 2.5 42% 38% @ 2.50
Over 3.5 36% 41% @ 2.32
Under 1.5 20% 18% @ 5.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 60% 62% @ 1.48
BTTS No 40% 38% @ 2.45

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Heerenveen or Telstar is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Heerenveen +1 84% 86% 1.10
Telstar +2 81% – @ 1.27
Heerenveen +0.75 80% 84% 1.13
Telstar +1.75 77% 68% @ 1.41
Heerenveen +0.5 76% 79% 1.20
Telstar +1.5 73% 62% @ 1.53
Heerenveen +0.25 70% 75% 1.25
Telstar +1.25 67% 58% @ 1.66
Heerenveen 0 64% 74% 1.29
Telstar +1 61% 52% @ 1.84
Heerenveen -0.25 57% 66% 1.45
Telstar +0.75 55% 46% @ 2.10
Heerenveen -0.5 51% 59% 1.62
Telstar +0.5 49% 41% @ 2.33
Heerenveen -0.75 45% 54% 1.76
Telstar +0.25 43% 34% @ 2.77
Heerenveen -1 39% 48% 2.02
Telstar 0 36% 26% @ 3.61
Heerenveen -1.25 33% 42% 2.26
Telstar -0.25 30% 25% @ 3.87
Heerenveen -1.5 27% 38% 2.50
Telstar -0.5 24% 21% @ 4.40
Heerenveen -1.75 23% 32% 2.96
Telstar -0.75 20% 16% @ 5.90
Telstar -1 16% 14% @ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

16%40%63%09/0809/0909/1009/1109/1209/13

Heerenveen 59%Draw 21%Telstar 20%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs Telstar?

Our model's main pick is Telstar with a +2 start at odds 1.27, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.

Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs Telstar?

Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline for Heerenveen vs Telstar.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Telstar?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.69 for Heerenveen and 1.32 for Telstar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Heerenveen and Telstar play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.