⚽ Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Telstar Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heerenveen vs Telstar in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Heerenveen face Telstar in the Eredivisie, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Heerenveen have 1 win from their last 5, while Telstar have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 2 meetings, Heerenveen won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heerenveen vs Telstar with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.60

63%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.71 – 1.37 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	6.3%	4.3%	2.0%	0.7%
1	7.9%	10.8%	7.4%	3.4%	1.2%
2	6.7%	9.2%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%
3	3.8%	5.2%	3.6%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.6%	2.2%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Heerenveen winDrawTelstar win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Telstar is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.60, the selection our model is most confident in at 63%. On the match result, the model rates a Heerenveen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.60, 63% model probability, +0.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Heerenveen 51%Draw 24%Telstar 25%

51%24%25%

51%

Heerenveen Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

+0.7%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Heerenveen and Telstar. Wins shown from Heerenveen’s perspective: Heerenveen 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-03-14	Heerenveen	3 – 0	Telstar	W
2025-10-19	Telstar	2 – 3	Heerenveen	W

📈 Recent form

Heerenveen

Heerenveen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Twente. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to AZ Alkmaar.

LHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
DWillem II 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
LHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
DAjax 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
WHeerenveen 1-0 TwenteEredivisie

Telstar

Telstar come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at NEC Nijmegen. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Twente.

LTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
LTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie
LTelstar 1-3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
WNEC Nijmegen 1-2 TelstarEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Heerenveen

M. EgbringInjury
M. HilgersKnee Injury
M. LindayNot in squad
D. ProperInjury

Telstar

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Heerenveen at 51% to win and Telstar at 25%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Telstar Win	25%	@ 3.85	-4.9%
Draw	24%	@ 3.90	-6.1%
Heerenveen Win	51%	@ 1.79	-8.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Telstar or Draw at 1.97 (49% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Telstar or Draw	49%	@ 1.97	-3.2%
Heerenveen or Draw	76%	@ 1.24	-6.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	41%	@ 2.50	+1.4%
Under 3.5	63%	@ 1.60	+0.7%
Under 1.5	19%	@ 5.30	-0.6%
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.14	-7.4%
Over 2.5	59%	@ 1.52	-9.6%
Over 3.5	37%	@ 2.32	-14.0%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	38%	@ 2.45	-5.9%
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.48	-8.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs Telstar?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.60, with 63% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs Telstar?

Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for Heerenveen vs Telstar.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Telstar?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Heerenveen and 1.37 for Telstar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Heerenveen and Telstar play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.