⚽ Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Telstar Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Heerenveen vs Telstar in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.
Result: Heerenveen 0-0 Telstar
Heerenveen vs Telstar finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.60, landed.
Heerenveen face Telstar in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Heerenveen have 1 win from their last 5, while Telstar have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 3 meetings, Heerenveen won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.7-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Heerenveen vs Telstar with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Heerenveen vs Telstar comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Telstar with a +2 start at odds 1.27, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Heerenveen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Heerenveen and Telstar. Wins shown from Heerenveen’s perspective: Heerenveen 2 · 1 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Heerenveen | 0 – 0 | Telstar | D |
| 2026-03-14 | Heerenveen | 3 – 0 | Telstar | W |
| 2025-10-19 | Telstar | 2 – 3 | Heerenveen | W |
📈 Recent form
Heerenveen come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Sparta Rotterdam. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to AZ Alkmaar.
- WSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
- DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
- LHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
- DWillem II 2-2 HeerenveenEredivisie
- LHeerenveen 0-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
Telstar come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar.
- LAZ Alkmaar 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
- DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
- LTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
- DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
- LTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 4 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. EgbringInjury
- M. HilgersKnee Injury
- M. LindayNot in squad
- D. ProperInjury
No absentees reported.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Heerenveen at 51% to win and Telstar at 24%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen Win | 51% | 52% | @ 1.79 |
| Telstar Win | 24% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heerenveen or Draw at 1.24 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen or Draw | 76% | 76% | @ 1.24 |
| Telstar or Draw | 49% | 48% | @ 1.97 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 82% | @ 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 | 64% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 41% | @ 2.32 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 18% | @ 5.30 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 62% | @ 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 38% | @ 2.45 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Heerenveen or Telstar is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen +1 | 84% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Telstar +2 | 81% | – | @ 1.27 |
| Heerenveen +0.75 | 80% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Telstar +1.75 | 77% | 68% | @ 1.41 |
| Heerenveen +0.5 | 76% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Telstar +1.5 | 73% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| Heerenveen +0.25 | 70% | 75% | 1.25 |
| Telstar +1.25 | 67% | 58% | @ 1.66 |
| Heerenveen 0 | 64% | 74% | 1.29 |
| Telstar +1 | 61% | 52% | @ 1.84 |
| Heerenveen -0.25 | 57% | 66% | 1.45 |
| Telstar +0.75 | 55% | 46% | @ 2.10 |
| Heerenveen -0.5 | 51% | 59% | 1.62 |
| Telstar +0.5 | 49% | 41% | @ 2.33 |
| Heerenveen -0.75 | 45% | 54% | 1.76 |
| Telstar +0.25 | 43% | 34% | @ 2.77 |
| Heerenveen -1 | 39% | 48% | 2.02 |
| Telstar 0 | 36% | 26% | @ 3.61 |
| Heerenveen -1.25 | 33% | 42% | 2.26 |
| Telstar -0.25 | 30% | 25% | @ 3.87 |
| Heerenveen -1.5 | 27% | 38% | 2.50 |
| Telstar -0.5 | 24% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Heerenveen -1.75 | 23% | 32% | 2.96 |
| Telstar -0.75 | 20% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Telstar -1 | 16% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Heerenveen vs Telstar?
Our model's main pick is Telstar with a +2 start at odds 1.27, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.
Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs Telstar?
Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.3 scoreline for Heerenveen vs Telstar.
What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Telstar?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.69 for Heerenveen and 1.32 for Telstar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Heerenveen and Telstar play?
Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


