Sat 17 Oct1-2Finished

⚽ Premiership

Hibernian vs Falkirk Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hibernian vs Falkirk in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Hibernian 1-2 Falkirk

Hibernian vs Falkirk finished 1-2. Falkirk won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Hibernian face Falkirk in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Hibernian have no wins from their last 5, while Falkirk have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Hibernian won 1, Falkirk won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hibernian win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hibernian vs Falkirk with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.41 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.8%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
1	10.5%	12.5%	7.4%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.4%	8.8%	5.2%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.5%	4.1%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.5%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Hibernian winDrawFalkirk win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hibernian vs Falkirk comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Hibernian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Hibernian 42%Draw 26%Falkirk 32%

42%26%32%

42%

Hibernian Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Hibernian and Falkirk. Wins shown from Hibernian’s perspective: Hibernian 1 · Falkirk 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-10-17	Hibernian	1 – 2	Falkirk	L
2026-05-09	Falkirk	1 – 3	Hibernian	W

📈 Recent form

Hibernian

Hibernian come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Ross County. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Falkirk.

LHibernian 1-2 FalkirkPremiership
LDundee Utd 1-0 HibernianPremiership
DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
LHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
WRoss County 0-3 HibernianLeague Cup

Falkirk

Falkirk come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Hibernian. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Dundee.

WHibernian 1-2 FalkirkPremiership
LFalkirk 1-2 DundeePremiership
DSt Johnstone 1-1 FalkirkPremiership
WFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 FalkirkPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hibernian at 42% to win and Falkirk at 32%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Hibernian win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hibernian Win	42%	56%	@ 1.65
Falkirk Win	32%	20%	@ 4.75
Draw	26%	24%	@ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Hibernian or Draw at 1.18 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Hibernian or Draw	68%	80%	@ 1.18
Falkirk or Draw	58%	44%	@ 2.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 1.5	73%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 2.5	52%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 2.5	48%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 1.5	27%	22%	@ 4.33
Over 3.5	26%	34%	@ 2.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	48%	45%	@ 2.05

📈 How the market moved

Hibernian 56%Draw 24%Falkirk 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Our model makes a Hibernian win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Hibernian vs Falkirk.

What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Falkirk?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.41 for Hibernian and 1.19 for Falkirk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hibernian and Falkirk play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.