⚽ Premiership
Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership. Kick-off Thursday 03 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Hibernian 1-3 Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian finished 1-3. Heart Of Midlothian won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Hibernian face Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership, kicking off Thursday 03 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Hibernian have 3 wins from their last 5, while Heart Of Midlothian have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.3-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Heart Of Midlothian with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Hibernian and Heart Of Midlothian. Wins shown from Hibernian’s perspective: Heart Of Midlothian 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Hibernian | 1 – 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | L |
| 2026-04-26 | Hibernian | 1 – 2 | Heart Of Midlothian | L |
📈 Recent form
Hibernian come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Ross County. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Kilmarnock.
- DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
- LHibernian 0-1 KilmarnockPremiership
- WRoss County 0-3 HibernianLeague Cup
- LSt Johnstone 2-1 HibernianPremiership
- LHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Stenhousemuir. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Falkirk.
- DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
- LFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
- WStenhousemuir 0-3 Heart Of MidlothianLeague Cup
- WHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
- WHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Hibernian at 32% to win and Heart Of Midlothian at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian Win | 43% | 35% | @ 2.65 |
| Hibernian Win | 32% | 38% | @ 2.43 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heart Of Midlothian or Draw at 1.52 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian or Draw | 68% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Hibernian or Draw | 58% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 75% | @ 1.24 |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 70% | @ 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 51% | @ 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 57% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 43% | @ 2.14 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Hibernian or Heart Of Midlothian is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian +1.75 | 89% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +1.5 | 87% | – | @ 1.16 |
| Hibernian +1.75 | 83% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +1.25 | 82% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Hibernian +1.5 | 80% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +1 | 78% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Hibernian +1.25 | 74% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +0.75 | 73% | 69% | @ 1.39 |
| Hibernian +1 | 69% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +0.5 | 68% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Hibernian +0.75 | 63% | 72% | 1.33 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +0.25 | 62% | 56% | @ 1.69 |
| Hibernian +0.5 | 58% | 64% | 1.47 |
| Heart Of Midlothian 0 | 55% | 48% | @ 1.99 |
| Hibernian +0.25 | 51% | 59% | 1.61 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -0.25 | 49% | 41% | @ 2.34 |
| Hibernian 0 | 45% | 52% | 1.84 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -0.5 | 42% | 36% | @ 2.64 |
| Hibernian -0.25 | 38% | 44% | 2.19 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -0.75 | 37% | 28% | @ 3.34 |
| Hibernian -0.5 | 32% | 38% | 2.43 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -1 | 31% | 21% | @ 4.56 |
| Hibernian -0.75 | 27% | 31% | 3.06 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -1.25 | 26% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Hibernian -1 | 22% | 23% | 4.14 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -1.5 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Hibernian -1.25 | 18% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -1.75 | 17% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Hibernian -1.75 | 11% | 14% | 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our model's main pick is Heart Of Midlothian with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.
Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our model makes a Heart Of Midlothian win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.5 scoreline for Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.27 for Hibernian and 1.52 for Heart Of Midlothian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Hibernian and Heart Of Midlothian play?
Kick-off is Thursday 03 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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