⚽ Premiership

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock in the Premiership. Kick-off Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Hibernian face Kilmarnock in the Premiership, kicking off Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Hibernian have 2 wins from their last 5, while Kilmarnock have 0 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Hibernian win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.8-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.52

68%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.77 – 1.71 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	5.3%	4.5%	2.6%	1.1%
1	5.5%	9.3%	8.0%	4.5%	1.9%
2	4.8%	8.3%	7.1%	4.0%	1.7%
3	2.8%	4.9%	4.2%	2.4%	1.0%
4	1.3%	2.2%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Hibernian winDrawKilmarnock win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.52, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a Hibernian win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (66%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Kilmarnock or Draw at odds 2.33 (+45.2% model value).

Best value

Kilmarnock or Draw at odds 2.33, 62% model probability, +45.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Hibernian 41%Draw 20%Kilmarnock 39%

41%20%39%

41%

Hibernian Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

+45.2%

Best value: Kilmarnock or Draw

📈 Recent form

Hibernian

Hibernian come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Dundee. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at ST Johnstone.

LST Johnstone 2-1 HibernianPremiership
LHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
WDundee 1-2 HibernianPremiership
LHibernian 2-3 GentUEFA Europa Conference
DGent 0-0 HibernianUEFA Europa Conference

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Ayr Utd. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to ST Mirren.

DAberdeen 0-0 KilmarnockPremiership
LKilmarnock 0-1 ST MirrenPremiership
LKilmarnock 0-4 Dundee UtdPremiership
WKilmarnock 3-2 Ayr UtdLeague Cup
LKilmarnock 1-5 CelticPremiership

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Hibernian at 41% to win and Kilmarnock at 39%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Hibernian win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Kilmarnock Win	39%	@ 5.10	+98.0%
Draw	20%	@ 4.10	-15.9%
Hibernian Win	41%	@ 1.55	-37.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kilmarnock or Draw at 2.33 (62% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Kilmarnock or Draw	62%	@ 2.33	+45.2%
Hibernian or Draw	64%	@ 1.15	-26.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	46%	@ 2.30	+5.6%
Over 2.5	68%	@ 1.52	+2.7%
Over 1.5	86%	@ 1.14	-1.7%
Under 3.5	54%	@ 1.57	-15.1%
Under 2.5	32%	@ 2.45	-20.5%
Under 1.5	14%	@ 5.10	-29.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	66%	@ 1.56	+2.5%
BTTS No	34%	@ 2.25	-22.8%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.52, with 68% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Kilmarnock or Draw at 2.33 (+45.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Our model makes a Hibernian win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.7 scoreline for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock.

What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.77 for Hibernian and 1.71 for Kilmarnock. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Hibernian and Kilmarnock play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.