⚽ Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Houston Dynamo face Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Houston Dynamo have 3 wins from their last 5, while Real Salt Lake have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 3, Real Salt Lake won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.43

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.40 – 1.06 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	9.1%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
1	12.0%	12.7%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.4%	8.9%	4.7%	1.7%	0.4%
3	3.9%	4.1%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Houston Dynamo winDrawReal Salt Lake win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.16 (+19.7% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 2.16, 55% model probability, +19.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Houston Dynamo 45%Draw 27%Real Salt Lake 28%

45%27%28%

45%

Houston Dynamo Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

+19.7%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from Houston Dynamo’s perspective: Houston Dynamo 3 · Real Salt Lake 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-05-14	Real Salt Lake	3 – 0	Houston Dynamo	L
2024-09-15	Houston Dynamo	4 – 1	Real Salt Lake	W
2024-07-04	Real Salt Lake	3 – 2	Houston Dynamo	L
2023-10-29	Houston Dynamo	2 – 1	Real Salt Lake	W
2023-08-27	Real Salt Lake	0 – 3	Houston Dynamo	W

📈 Recent form

Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Vancouver Whitecaps. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at St. Louis City.

DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
LSt. Louis City 2-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
WVancouver Whitecaps 0-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
WHouston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer

Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Colorado Rapids.

DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
LColorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
LLeon 3-0 Real Salt LakeLeagues Cup
LOrlando City SC 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
LReal Salt Lake 3-4 FC DallasMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Houston Dynamo

Felipe AndradeSuspended (cards)
L. FosterNot in squad
J. MaurerConcussion
M. SaracchiLower-Body Injury

Real Salt Lake

Z. BoothHamstring Injury
G. DillonFoot Injury
J. GladGroin Injury
A. PiolAchilles Tendon Injury
E. EneliKnee Injury
M. GuilavoguiKnee Injury
S. JunquaConcussion
S. SpieringsAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Houston Dynamo at 45% to win and Real Salt Lake at 28%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Real Salt Lake Win	28%	@ 3.65	+1.7%
Draw	27%	@ 3.65	-0.3%
Houston Dynamo Win	45%	@ 1.90	-14.9%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Real Salt Lake or Draw at 1.86 (54% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Real Salt Lake or Draw	54%	@ 1.86	+1.3%
Houston Dynamo or Draw	71%	@ 1.26	-10.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	30%	@ 4.40	+30.1%
Under 2.5	55%	@ 2.16	+19.7%
Under 3.5	77%	@ 1.43	+9.6%
Over 1.5	70%	@ 1.19	-16.2%
Over 2.5	45%	@ 1.66	-26.0%
Over 3.5	23%	@ 2.70	-36.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	51%	@ 2.23	+13.4%
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.58	-22.4%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	50%
Dixon-Coles	Home	39%
GradientBoosting	Home	45%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.49 for the home side, 1.13 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.43, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.16 (+19.7% value).

Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Houston Dynamo and 1.06 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake play?

Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.