⚽ Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake finished 2-1. Houston Dynamo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.50, landed.
Houston Dynamo face Real Salt Lake in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Houston Dynamo have 3 wins from their last 5, while Real Salt Lake have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 3, Real Salt Lake won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Real Salt Lake with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake. Wins shown from Houston Dynamo’s perspective: Houston Dynamo 3 · Real Salt Lake 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Houston Dynamo | 2 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | W |
| 2026-05-14 | Real Salt Lake | 3 – 0 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2024-09-15 | Houston Dynamo | 4 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | W |
| 2024-07-04 | Real Salt Lake | 3 – 2 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2023-10-29 | Houston Dynamo | 2 – 1 | Real Salt Lake | W |
📈 Recent form
Houston Dynamo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Salt Lake. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at San Jose Earthquakes.
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
Real Salt Lake come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps.
- LReal Salt Lake 0-3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- LReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- LHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LColorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Felipe AndradeSuspended (cards)
- L. FosterNot in squad
- J. MaurerConcussion
- M. SaracchiLower-Body Injury
- Z. BoothHamstring Injury
- G. DillonFoot Injury
- E. EneliKnee Injury
- J. GladGroin Injury
- M. GuilavoguiKnee Injury
- S. JunquaConcussion
- A. PiolAchilles Tendon Injury
- S. SpieringsAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Houston Dynamo at 45% to win and Real Salt Lake at 28%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo Win | 45% | 49% | @ 1.90 |
| Real Salt Lake Win | 28% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.26 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 71% | 74% | @ 1.26 |
| Real Salt Lake or Draw | 54% | 51% | @ 1.86 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 77% | 65% | @ 1.43 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 43% | @ 2.16 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 57% | @ 1.66 |
| Under 1.5 | 30% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 35% | @ 2.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | 41% | @ 2.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 59% | @ 1.58 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake +2 | 84% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Houston Dynamo +1.25 | 84% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.75 | 81% | – | @ 1.25 |
| Houston Dynamo +1 | 80% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.5 | 77% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.75 | 76% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Real Salt Lake +1.25 | 72% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.5 | 71% | – | 1.26 |
| Real Salt Lake +1 | 66% | – | @ 1.54 |
| Houston Dynamo +0.25 | 65% | – | 1.33 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.75 | 60% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Houston Dynamo 0 | 58% | – | 1.42 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 54% | 49% | @ 1.94 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.25 | 52% | 58% | 1.65 |
| Real Salt Lake +0.25 | 48% | 42% | @ 2.29 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.5 | 46% | 51% | 1.84 |
| Houston Dynamo -0.75 | 40% | 45% | 2.15 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.25 | 28% | 32% | 3.00 |
| Real Salt Lake -0.75 | 24% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Houston Dynamo -1.5 | 23% | 29% | 3.29 |
| Real Salt Lake -1 | 20% | 14% | @ 6.80 |
| Houston Dynamo -2 | 16% | 15% | 6.25 |
| Real Salt Lake -1.25 | 16% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model's main pick is Real Salt Lake with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 80%.
Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?
Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Houston Dynamo and 1.06 for Real Salt Lake. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake play?
Kick-off is Thursday 10 September 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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