⚽ Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Houston Dynamo face San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. Recent form: Houston Dynamo have 4 wins from their last 5, while San Jose Earthquakes have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 3, San Jose Earthquakes won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 1.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.62

66%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.77 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	6.2%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.4%	10.9%	6.4%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.3%	9.7%	5.7%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.9%	5.7%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
4	2.2%	2.5%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Houston Dynamo winDrawSan Jose Earthquakes win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.62, 66% model probability, +7.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Houston Dynamo 59%Draw 23%San Jose Earthquakes 18%

59%23%18%

59%

Houston Dynamo Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

+7.0%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes. Wins shown from Houston Dynamo’s perspective: Houston Dynamo 3 · San Jose Earthquakes 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-07-18	San Jose Earthquakes	0 – 1	Houston Dynamo	W
2024-03-31	Houston Dynamo	2 – 1	San Jose Earthquakes	W
2023-06-22	Houston Dynamo	4 – 1	San Jose Earthquakes	W
2023-04-02	San Jose Earthquakes	2 – 1	Houston Dynamo	L

📈 Recent form

Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to CD Olimpia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at St. Louis City.

LSt. Louis City 2-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
WVancouver Whitecaps 0-1 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
WHouston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
WNew England Revolution 0-2 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
WHouston Dynamo 3-0 CD OlimpiaFriendlies Clubs

San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 14. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Portland Timbers. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Minnesota United FC.

LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
LLos Angeles Galaxy 1-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
LFC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
WPortland Timbers 1-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Houston Dynamo at 59% to win and San Jose Earthquakes at 18%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Houston Dynamo Win	59%	@ 1.67	-1.6%
Draw	23%	@ 4.10	-4.7%
San Jose Earthquakes Win	18%	@ 4.40	-21.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.20 (82% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Houston Dynamo or Draw	82%	@ 1.20	-2.0%
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw	41%	@ 2.15	-12.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	44%	@ 2.55	+11.4%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 5.25	+9.4%
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.62	+7.0%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.15	-9.0%
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.50	-15.5%
Over 3.5	34%	@ 2.25	-23.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	44%	@ 2.40	+6.0%
BTTS Yes	56%	@ 1.50	-16.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with 66% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.77 for Houston Dynamo and 1.17 for San Jose Earthquakes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.