⚽ Brazilian Série A
Internacional vs Atlético Mineiro Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Internacional vs Atlético Mineiro in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 21:30 UTC.
Result: Internacional 0-0 Atlético Mineiro
Internacional vs Atlético Mineiro finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Internacional face Atlético Mineiro in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 21:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Internacional won 1, Atlético Mineiro won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Internacional win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Internacional vs Atlético Mineiro with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Internacional vs Atlético Mineiro comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Internacional win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Internacional and Atlético Mineiro. Wins shown from Internacional’s perspective: Internacional 1 · 1 drawn · Atlético Mineiro 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Internacional | 0 – 0 | Atlético Mineiro | D |
| 2024-10-26 | Atlético Mineiro | 1 – 3 | Internacional | W |
| 2024-06-27 | Internacional | 1 – 2 | Atlético Mineiro | L |
| 2023-10-01 | Internacional | 0 – 2 | Atlético Mineiro | L |
| 2023-05-14 | Atlético Mineiro | 2 – 0 | Internacional | L |
📈 Recent form
Internacional come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Chapecoense. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at São Paulo.
- LSão Paulo 1-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
- WChapecoense 1-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
- LInternacional 2-3 SantosBrazilian Série A
- LGrêmio 3-1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
- LBahia 3-2 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
Atlético Mineiro come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Santos. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Santos.
- DAtlético Mineiro 1-1 ChapecoenseBrazilian Série A
- WAtlético Mineiro 4-2 SantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana
- WAtlético Mineiro 3-1 FluminenseBrazilian Série A
- LSantos 2-0 Atlético MineiroCONMEBOL Sudamericana
- LSão Paulo 2-0 Atlético MineiroBrazilian Série A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 13 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- B. ArhinHamstring Injury
- Joao VictorMuscle Injury
- KaykyAnkle Injury
- Matheus BahiaSuspended (cards)
- S. RochetLower Back Injury
- Victor GabrielSuspended (red card)
- L. DuarteHamstring Injury
- Gustavo ScarpaMuscle Injury
- Igor GomesKnee Injury
- IndioKnee Injury
- LyancoFoot Injury
- Patrick SilvaKnee Injury
- A. PreciadoSuspended (cards)
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Internacional at 45% to win and Atlético Mineiro at 25%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes an Internacional win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional Win | 45% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Atlético Mineiro Win | 25% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Internacional or Draw at 1.29 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional or Draw | 73% | 73% | @ 1.29 |
| Atlético Mineiro or Draw | 53% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 74% | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 55% | @ 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 45% | @ 2.08 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 29% | @ 3.20 |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 25% | @ 3.85 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 51% | @ 1.83 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 49% | @ 1.87 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Internacional or Atlético Mineiro is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional +1.5 | 90% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Internacional +1.25 | 85% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Internacional +1 | 81% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Atlético Mineiro +1.75 | 80% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Internacional +0.75 | 77% | – | 1.18 |
| Atlético Mineiro +1.5 | 76% | 76% | 1.24 |
| Internacional +0.5 | 73% | – | 1.28 |
| Atlético Mineiro +1.25 | 70% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Internacional +0.25 | 66% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Atlético Mineiro +1 | 64% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Internacional 0 | 60% | 64% | 1.49 |
| Atlético Mineiro +0.75 | 58% | 62% | 1.54 |
| Internacional -0.25 | 54% | 53% | 1.80 |
| Atlético Mineiro +0.5 | 53% | 54% | 1.73 |
| Internacional -0.5 | 47% | 46% | 2.06 |
| Atlético Mineiro +0.25 | 46% | 47% | 2.07 |
| Internacional -0.75 | 42% | 38% | @ 2.46 |
| Atlético Mineiro 0 | 40% | 36% | @ 2.62 |
| Internacional -1 | 36% | 30% | @ 3.19 |
| Atlético Mineiro -0.25 | 34% | 30% | @ 3.21 |
| Internacional -1.25 | 30% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| Internacional -1.5 | 24% | 24% | 3.93 |
| Internacional -1.75 | 20% | 18% | @ 5.25 |
| Atlético Mineiro -1 | 19% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Atlético Mineiro -1.25 | 15% | 14% | 6.60 |
| Atlético Mineiro -1.5 | 10% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Atlético Mineiro?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Internacional vs Atlético Mineiro?
Our model makes an Internacional win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for Internacional vs Atlético Mineiro.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Atlético Mineiro?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Internacional and 1.19 for Atlético Mineiro. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Internacional and Atlético Mineiro play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 21:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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