⚽ Serie A
Juventus vs AC Milan Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Juventus vs AC Milan in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Juventus 1-1 AC Milan
Juventus vs AC Milan finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Juventus face AC Milan in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Juventus have 3 wins from their last 5, while AC Milan have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Juventus won 1, 4 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Juventus vs AC Milan with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Juventus vs AC Milan comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (50%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Juventus and AC Milan. Wins shown from Juventus’s perspective: Juventus 1 · 4 drawn.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Juventus | 1 – 1 | AC Milan | D |
| 2026-04-26 | AC Milan | 0 – 0 | Juventus | D |
| 2025-10-05 | Juventus | 0 – 0 | AC Milan | D |
| 2025-01-18 | Juventus | 2 – 0 | AC Milan | W |
| 2024-11-23 | AC Milan | 0 – 0 | Juventus | D |
📈 Recent form
Juventus come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Sassuolo.
- WJuventus 2-0 AtalantaSerie A
- WJuventus 5-0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League
- LSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
- DJuventus 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
- WJuventus 2-0 ParmaSerie A
AC Milan come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Lecce. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Benfica.
- WAC Milan 3-0 LecceSerie A
- LAC Milan 0-2 BenficaUEFA Europa League
- DLazio 2-2 AC MilanSerie A
- DJuventus 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
- WAC Milan 2-0 VeneziaSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. CabalThigh Injury
- A. CambiasoAnkle Injury
- J. EkhatorMuscle Injury
- W. McKennieMuscle Injury
- A. MilikNot in squad
- P. M. SarrMuscle Injury
- K. ThuramKnee Injury
- K. YildizFoot Injury
- M. GabbiaAnkle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Juventus at 41% to win and AC Milan at 30%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus Win | 41% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
| AC Milan Win | 30% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Juventus or Draw at 1.28 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus or Draw | 69% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| AC Milan or Draw | 57% | 54% | @ 1.74 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 76% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 71% | @ 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 54% | @ 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | @ 2.04 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 29% | @ 3.30 |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 52% | @ 1.81 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 48% | @ 1.94 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Juventus or AC Milan is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan +1.75 | 83% | 82% | 1.16 |
| AC Milan +1.5 | 80% | 77% | 1.24 |
| Juventus +1 | 78% | 86% | 1.10 |
| AC Milan +1.25 | 74% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Juventus +0.75 | 73% | – | 1.20 |
| Juventus +0.5 | 69% | 74% | 1.28 |
| AC Milan +1 | 68% | 70% | 1.36 |
| AC Milan +0.75 | 63% | 61% | 1.56 |
| Juventus +0.25 | 62% | 70% | 1.36 |
| AC Milan +0.5 | 57% | 54% | @ 1.75 |
| Juventus 0 | 56% | 64% | 1.50 |
| AC Milan +0.25 | 51% | 47% | @ 2.08 |
| Juventus -0.25 | 49% | 53% | 1.81 |
| AC Milan 0 | 44% | 36% | @ 2.67 |
| Juventus -0.5 | 43% | 46% | 2.10 |
| AC Milan -0.25 | 38% | 30% | @ 3.19 |
| Juventus -0.75 | 37% | 39% | 2.44 |
| Juventus -1 | 32% | 30% | @ 3.19 |
| AC Milan -0.5 | 31% | 26% | @ 3.67 |
| Juventus -1.25 | 26% | 26% | 3.67 |
| AC Milan -1 | 22% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Juventus -1.5 | 20% | 23% | 4.12 |
| Juventus -1.75 | 17% | 18% | 5.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Juventus vs AC Milan?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Juventus vs AC Milan?
Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Juventus vs AC Milan.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs AC Milan?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.42 for Juventus and 1.09 for AC Milan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Juventus and AC Milan play?
Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Benevento
Catanzaro
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Cesena
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Mantova
CremoneseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.