Kauno Žalgiris
Brann⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Kauno Žalgiris face Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC. Recent form: Kauno Žalgiris have 2 wins from their last 5, while Brann have 3 wins from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes a Brann win the most likely result at 55%, implying a 1.1-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Kauno Žalgiris with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Brann win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (52%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Kauno Žalgiris come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Minija. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at Brighton.
- WSuduva Marijampole 0-1 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
- LBrighton 4-0 Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa Conference
- WMinija 0-3 Kauno ŽalgirisCup
- WŠiauliai 0-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
- LFK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-2 Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
Brann come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lincoln Red Imps FC. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Valerenga.
- LValerenga 3-1 BrannEliteserien
- WBrann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCUEFA Europa Conference
- LBrann 0-2 VikingEliteserien
- WBrann 2-1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- WOs 1-2 BrannNM Cupen
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Kauno Žalgiris at 31% to win and Brann at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Brann win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brann Win | 40% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Kauno Žalgiris Win | 31% | 20% | @ 4.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Brann or Draw at 1.18 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brann or Draw | 68% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Kauno Žalgiris or Draw | 58% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 3.5 | 73% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 26% | 22% | @ 4.33 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 48% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Kauno Žalgiris or Brann is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris +2 | 86% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Kauno Žalgiris +1.75 | 83% | 73% | @ 1.30 |
| Kauno Žalgiris +1.5 | 80% | 67% | @ 1.42 |
| Kauno Žalgiris +1.25 | 75% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Brann +0.75 | 72% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Kauno Žalgiris +1 | 69% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Brann +0.5 | 68% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Kauno Žalgiris +0.75 | 64% | 50% | @ 1.93 |
| Brann +0.25 | 61% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Kauno Žalgiris +0.5 | 58% | 44% | @ 2.15 |
| Brann 0 | 55% | 72% | 1.31 |
| Kauno Žalgiris +0.25 | 52% | 37% | @ 2.58 |
| Brann -0.25 | 48% | 63% | 1.51 |
| Kauno Žalgiris 0 | 45% | 28% | @ 3.42 |
| Brann -0.5 | 42% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Kauno Žalgiris -0.25 | 39% | 25% | @ 3.85 |
| Brann -0.75 | 36% | 50% | 1.91 |
| Kauno Žalgiris -0.5 | 32% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Brann -1 | 31% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Kauno Žalgiris -0.75 | 28% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Brann -1.25 | 25% | 38% | 2.50 |
| Brann -1.5 | 20% | 33% | 2.83 |
| Brann -1.75 | 17% | 27% | 3.52 |
| Brann -2 | 14% | 21% | 4.50 |
📈 How the market moved
🔬 How this pick was selected
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 43% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 54% |
| GradientBoosting | Away | 40% |
The table above shows each model’s view of the match winner. This pick is on a different market (goals or handicap) and was selected on the bookmaker market’s probability, not on our model.
The bookmaker market puts this selection at 73% with the margin removed; the odds of 1.30 imply 77% including the margin. In our own testing our model did not beat the market, so we select on the market’s probability.
Expected goals: 1.20 for the home side, 1.40 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Our main pick is Kauno Žalgiris with a +1.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
Our model makes a Brann win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.9 scoreline for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann.
What is the predicted score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.08 for Kauno Žalgiris and 1.86 for Brann. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Kauno Žalgiris and Brann play?
Kick-off is Thursday 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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