⚽ Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Kilmarnock face Dundee Utd in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Kilmarnock have 3 wins from their last 5, while Dundee Utd have 0 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely result at 72%, projecting a 2.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Kilmarnock or Draw @ 1.50

88%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.83 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%
1	5.2%	6.1%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%
2	7.4%	8.6%	5.0%	1.9%	0.6%
3	7.0%	8.1%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
4	4.9%	5.7%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Kilmarnock winDrawDundee Utd win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Kilmarnock or Draw at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 88%. On the match result, the model rates a Kilmarnock win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 72%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points yes (64%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Kilmarnock win at odds 2.56 (+83.2% model value).

Best value

Kilmarnock Win at odds 2.56, 72% model probability, +83.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Kilmarnock 72%Draw 15%Dundee Utd 13%

72%15%13%

72%

Kilmarnock Win

76%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

+83.2%

Best value: Kilmarnock Win

📈 Recent form

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Ayr Utd. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Celtic.

WKilmarnock 3-2 Ayr UtdLeague Cup
LKilmarnock 1-5 CelticPremiership
LST Johnstone 4-3 KilmarnockPremiership
WKilmarnock 1-0 Hamilton AcademicalLeague Cup
WElgin City 0-1 KilmarnockLeague Cup

Dundee Utd

Dundee Utd come into this game with 0 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Dundee.

LDundee Utd 0-2 DundeePremiership
LDundee Utd 0-4 CelticLeague Cup
LHeart Of Midlothian 4-0 Dundee UtdPremiership
DDundee Utd 1-1 RangersPremiership
LSalford City 3-2 Dundee UtdFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Kilmarnock at 72% to win and Dundee Utd at 13%, with the draw at 15%. Our model makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Kilmarnock Win	72%	@ 2.56	+83.2%
Draw	15%	@ 3.55	-45.4%
Dundee Utd Win	13%	@ 2.50	-67.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Kilmarnock or Draw at 1.50 (88% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Kilmarnock or Draw	88%	@ 1.50	+32.3%
Dundee Utd or Draw	30%	@ 1.48	-55.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	56%	@ 3.00	+69.2%
Over 2.5	76%	@ 1.80	+36.7%
Over 1.5	91%	@ 1.25	+13.4%
Under 3.5	44%	@ 1.38	-39.8%
Under 2.5	24%	@ 2.00	-51.9%
Under 1.5	9%	@ 3.85	-64.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.65	+6.4%
BTTS No	36%	@ 2.15	-23.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

Our main pick is Kilmarnock or Draw at odds 1.50, with 88% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Kilmarnock win at 2.56 (+83.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

Our model makes a Kilmarnock win the most likely result at 72%. It projects an expected 2.8-1.2 scoreline for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd.

What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.83 for Kilmarnock and 1.16 for Dundee Utd. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.