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⚽ Serie A

Lazio vs Cagliari Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lazio vs Cagliari in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Lazio face Cagliari in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Lazio have 4 wins from their last 5, while Cagliari have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Lazio won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.6-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lazio vs Cagliari with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 2.5 @ 1.80

56%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.55 – 0.88 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	7.7%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
1	13.6%	12.0%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.6%	9.3%	4.1%	1.2%	0.3%
3	5.5%	4.8%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.1%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Lazio winDrawCagliari win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lazio vs Cagliari comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.80, with a 56% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Lazio win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Lazio 52%Draw 32%Cagliari 15%

52%32%15%

52%

Lazio Win

56%

Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Lazio and Cagliari. Wins shown from Lazio’s perspective: Lazio 4 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-02-21	Cagliari	0 – 0	Lazio	D
2025-11-03	Lazio	2 – 0	Cagliari	W
2025-02-03	Cagliari	1 – 2	Lazio	W
2024-11-04	Lazio	2 – 1	Cagliari	W
2024-02-10	Cagliari	1 – 3	Lazio	W

📈 Recent form

Lazio

Lazio come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Juventus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WLazio 2-1 ParmaSerie A
WJuventus 0-3 LazioSerie A
WLazio 3-1 MonzaSerie A
DLazio 3-3 Juve StabiaFriendlies Clubs
WVenezia 0-2 LazioSerie A

Cagliari

Cagliari come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Udinese. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Bologna.

LCagliari 0-2 BolognaSerie A
LMonza 4-0 CagliariSerie A
DCagliari 1-1 JuventusSerie A
WUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
WAtalanta 1-2 CagliariSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lazio

PatricSprained Ankle
A. FurlanettoJumpers Knee

Cagliari

Riyad IdrissiJumpers Knee

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lazio at 52% to win and Cagliari at 15%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Lazio win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lazio Win	52%	65%	@ 1.44
Draw	32%	22%	@ 4.20
Cagliari Win	15%	13%	@ 7.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 2.5	56%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	44%	47%	@ 2.00

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lazio vs Cagliari?

Our model's pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.80, with a 56% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 53%.

Who is the favourite for Lazio vs Cagliari?

Our model makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline for Lazio vs Cagliari.

What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Cagliari?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Lazio and 0.88 for Cagliari. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lazio and Cagliari play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.